DOV
Dover CorporationNYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, DOV has a signal label of "mixed" and a composite score of 9.2. This change from "mild_favorable" reflects a decline in the management score, which fell by 8.0 points to 57.9. The current analysis is provisional and influenced by macroeconomic factors such as growth, labor, rates, and inflation.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.03
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.71 → $2.72 (+0.4% / 30d). 13 raised, 1 cut, 19 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 7 maintained. 62% of analysts rate Buy.
7 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 10.3% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-04-08DOV — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balan…impact 0.29
- 2026-04-08DOV — M&A activity — Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreementimpact 0.24
- 2026-04-08DOV — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreementimpact 0.19
- 2025-11-10DOV — share buyback announcedimpact 0.19
- 2024-07-23DOV — M&A activityimpact 0.04
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve revenue growth of 5% to 7%growthbehind0% progress
4/23: “Dover expects full year revenue growth of 5% to 7% (organic growth of 3% to 5%).”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue was $1.73B in 2025-Q4, down from $2.08B in 2025-Q3. The trajectory shows limited progress towards the 5% to 7% growth target, with revenue declining in the latest quarter.
- 2.Increase adjusted EPS guidancegrowthbehind0% progress
4/23: “Dover expects adjusted EPS of $10.45 to $10.65 for 2026.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EPS guidance is $10.45 to $10.65 for 2026. The guidance has been consistent, but the actual EPS performance will determine if the increase is realized.
- 3.Maintain strong operational performanceotherwatchprovisional
4/23: “Dover issued a press release announcing its results of operations.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income was $220M in 2025-Q4, down from $377M in 2025-Q3. The operational performance shows a decline in the latest quarter, indicating challenges in maintaining strong performance.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 30%; 252d 24%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −15%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 1.15 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 60/100, drawdown 69/100, beta 85/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- label change · signal_labelseverity 30
Signal changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'mixed'.
- score change · management_scoreseverity 20
Management fell by 8.0 points (from 65.9 to 57.9).
As of 2026-05-08, the signal label for DOV changed from "mild_favorable" to "mixed." The management score decreased by 8.0 points, falling from 65.9 to 57.9.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve revenue growth of 5% to 7%
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Dover aims for a full-year revenue growth of 5% to 7%, with organic growth of 3% to 5%.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue was $1.73B in 2025-Q4, down from $2.08B in 2025-Q3. The trajectory shows limited progress towards the 5% to 7% growth target, with revenue declining in the latest quarter.
0%CEO/CFO:“Dover expects full year revenue growth of 5% to 7% (organic growth of 3% to 5%).”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Dover expects full year revenue growth of 5% to 7%.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Dover expects full year revenue growth of 5% to 7%.”
- #2
Increase adjusted EPS guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Dover aims to increase its adjusted EPS guidance for the fiscal year.
Watch →BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EPS guidance is $10.45 to $10.65 for 2026. The guidance has been consistent, but the actual EPS performance will determine if the increase is realized.
0%CEO/CFO:“Dover expects adjusted EPS of $10.45 to $10.65 for 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Dover expects adjusted EPS of $10.45 to $10.65.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Dover expects adjusted EPS of $10.45 to $10.65.”
- #3
Maintain strong operational performance
OtherNew since 2026-05-04Dover aims to maintain strong operational performance across its segments.
WatchNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income was $220M in 2025-Q4, down from $377M in 2025-Q3. The operational performance shows a decline in the latest quarter, indicating challenges in maintaining strong performance.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“Dover issued a press release announcing its results of operations.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Dover issued a press release announcing its results of operations.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DOV Dover Corporation | +9.2 | full | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2315d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 23, 2026, Dover Corporation ("Dover") issued the Press Release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any of Dover’s filings with the SEC under the Securities Act…
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 55 - 2026-04-081mo agoItem 1.01
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. See the information set forth in Item 2.03, which is incorporated by reference herein.
mna activitypositivescore 33 - 2026-04-081mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. Replacing a similar existing credit facility with a remaining term of two years, on April 2, 2026, Dover Corporation (the “Company”) entered into a $1.5 billion five-year unsecured revolving credit facility with a syndicate of twelve banks (the “Lenders”), pursuant to a Credit Agreement dated as of April 2, 2026 (the “Five-Year Credit Agreement”) among the Company, the Lenders, t…
capital allocationnegativescore 26 - 2026-04-081mo agoItem 1.02
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. See the information set forth in Item 2.03, which is incorporated by reference herein.
mna activitynegativescore 26 - 2026-01-293mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 29, 2026, Dover Corporation ("Dover") issued the Press Release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any of Dover’s filings with the SEC under the Securities…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 7
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.