EA
Electronic ArtsNASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, EA has a composite score of -14.4 and a signal label of "cautious." The valuation score increased by 16.1 points to 19.7, indicating it is considered expensive. The overall score is influenced by macroeconomic factors, with a total risk score of 32.2 and medium confidence at 61.8. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.35
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.49 → $1.28 (-14.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 11% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
7 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-01-06EA — legal / regulatory event — Triggering Events that Accelerate or Increase a Direct Financial Obligation o…impact 0.35
- 2026-05-05EA — dividend updateimpact 0.31
- 2026-02-03EA — dividend updateimpact 0.24
- 2025-12-15EA — share buyback announcedimpact 0.21
- 2026-02-10EA — acquisition completedimpact 0.16
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase net bookings through franchise momentumgrowthon track97% progressprovisional
2/3: “Net bookings for the quarter totaled $3.046 billion, up 38% year-over-year.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Net bookings for the quarter totaled $3.046 billion, up 38% year-over-year, driven by successful franchise launches like Battlefield 6. This indicates strong growth momentum in EA's key franchises, aligning with management's stated focus on increasing net bookings.
- 2.Maintain dividend payoutcapital allocationmixed65% progressprovisional
2/3: “EA has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EA has consistently declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share, maintaining its commitment to return capital to shareholders. This steady payout reflects a stable capital allocation strategy, with no change in the dividend amount over the period.
- 3.Drive growth in EA SPORTS FC and Apex Legendsgrowthmixed65% progressprovisional
2/3: “EA SPORTS FC net bookings increased high single digits year-over-year in Q3.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. EA SPORTS FC net bookings increased high single digits year-over-year in Q3, and Apex Legends momentum continued with net bookings up double-digits. This indicates a positive trajectory in these key franchises, aligning with management's growth focus.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 4%; 252d 21%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −8%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLC) — 0.29 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 64/100, drawdown 84/100, beta 29/100, earnings vol —.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · valuation_scoreseverity 32
Valuation rose by 16.1 points (from 3.6 to 19.7).
As of May 8, 2026, the valuation score for EA rose by 16.1 points, increasing from 3.6 to 19.7. The overall composite score is -14.4, with a medium confidence label. The signal transitioned to "cautious." There are several unfavorable scenarios, including a potential guidance cut and a reversal in rates, while there are also favorable scenarios related to guidance raises and sector trends improving.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 1 guided quarters · -42.0% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase net bookings through franchise momentum
GrowthFocus on driving net bookings growth through successful franchise launches and sustained engagement.
On trackNewly stated in 2025-Q4. Net bookings for the quarter totaled $3.046 billion, up 38% year-over-year, driven by successful franchise launches like Battlefield 6. This indicates strong growth momentum in EA's key franchises, aligning with management's stated focus on increasing net bookings.
97%CEO/CFO:“Net bookings for the quarter totaled $3.046 billion, up 38% year-over-year.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-03Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-03provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Net bookings for the quarter totaled $3.046 billion, up 38% year-over-year.”
- #2
Maintain dividend payout
Capital allocationContinue to provide a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share to shareholders.
MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EA has consistently declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share, maintaining its commitment to return capital to shareholders. This steady payout reflects a stable capital allocation strategy, with no change in the dividend amount over the period.
Quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share declared65%CEO/CFO:“EA has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-03Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-03provisionalShow history (3)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“EA has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share.”
- 2025-Q3Press release
“Quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share declared.”
- 2025-Q2Press release
“Declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.19 per share.”
- #3
Drive growth in EA SPORTS FC and Apex Legends
GrowthFocus on increasing net bookings and engagement in EA SPORTS FC and Apex Legends franchises.
MixedNewly stated in 2025-Q4. EA SPORTS FC net bookings increased high single digits year-over-year in Q3, and Apex Legends momentum continued with net bookings up double-digits. This indicates a positive trajectory in these key franchises, aligning with management's growth focus.
65%CEO/CFO:“EA SPORTS FC net bookings increased high single digits year-over-year in Q3.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-03Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-03provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“EA SPORTS FC net bookings increased high single digits year-over-year in Q3.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
EA Electronic Arts | -14 | expensive | moderate |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | +31 | fair | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | +32 | fair | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | +30 | inexpensive | elevated |
NFLX Netflix | +23 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If communication_services sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-5.8 pts
- If communication_services sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-053d agoItem 2.02
Result of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, Electronic Arts Inc. ("Electronic Arts" or “EA”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Neither the information in this Form 8-K nor the information in the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 shall be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,…
earnings preannouncement—score 61 - 2026-05-053d agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On May 1, 2026, the Audit Committee of EA, on behalf of EA’s full Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.19 per share of EA's common stock. The dividend is payable on June 17, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on May 27, 2026.
capital allocationneutralscore 48 - 2026-02-033mo agoItem 2.02
Result of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 3, 2026, Electronic Arts Inc. ("Electronic Arts" or “EA”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Neither the information in this Form 8-K nor the information in the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 shall be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as…
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 9 - 2026-02-102mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on September 28, 2025, Electronic Arts Inc. (“ Electronic Arts ” or the “ Company ”) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “ Merger Agreement ”) by and among the Company, Oak-Eagle AcquireCo, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“ Parent ”), and Oak-Eagle MergerCo, Inc., a Delaware corporation and wholly owned subsidiary of Parent (“ Merger Sub ”) pursuant to and subject to the terms and conditions of which Merger Sub will merge with and into the Co…
mna activitypositivescore 7 - 2026-02-033mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On January 29, 2026, the Audit Committee of EA, on behalf of EA’s full Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.19 per share of EA's common stock. The dividend is payable on March 18, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on February 25, 2026.
capital allocationneutralscore 6
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.