EMPERY DIGITAL INC (EMPD)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.29-3.52%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EMPD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -45.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -60.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 276 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 14.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EMPD — litigation filed
Dated 2026-07-10
Other Events. Since May 7, 2026, Empery Digital Inc. (the “Company”) has sold 1,400 BTC for an average price of $62,200 per BTC, generating approximately $87.1 million of gross proceeds. These proceeds were used to (i) repay $10 million of the Company’s outstanding debt on July 7, 2026, (ii) generate cash to fund the previously announced Property Acquisition once the Purchase and Sale Agreement is consummated, and (iii) generate cash that will be used to pay for elevated legal expenses associ…
Why it matters: This partnership is key for Empery Digital's growth in AI data centers. Progress can mean future chances.
Supportive ifNew projects or developments come from the partnership. This adds to Empery Digital's portfolio.
Worry ifNo new projects or developments are announced. This shows a slowdown in the partnership.
Why it matters: Court cases can affect EMPD's finances and how investors feel. Watch for legal costs.
Worry ifThe court case ends well with little financial impact on EMPD.
Less concerning ifThe court case leads to large financial penalties or costs.
Why it matters: The termination may change how investors feel and how the company is run. It could mean a change in management.
Watch forGood investor reactions or stock price rises after the rights plan ends.
Also watch forBad investor reactions or stock price drops after the rights plan ends.
Why it matters: This investment is key for Empery Digital's growth in AI data centers. It shows their commitment to expanding in this sector.
Supportive ifThe company will close the $65 million investment in the Midwest facility by Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe investment does not close by Q3 2026 or faces significant delays.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$301 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $732 loss on $10,000 · 7.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,850 loss on $10,000 · 68.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Closing this acquisition is key for EMPD's growth in AI data centers. It shows progress in their strategic partnerships.
Supportive ifThe property purchase closes as planned in Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe property purchase does not close or has major delays.
Why it matters: Increasing the share repurchase program signals management's confidence in the company's value. It can support share price.
Supportive ifManagement shares news of more stock buybacks under the $200 million program.
Worry ifManagement halts the share repurchase program or reduces its size.
Why it matters: New partnerships may help Empery Digital grow. They could also boost its AI systems.
Supportive ifEmpery Digital shares news about new partnerships. These are for AI data center projects.
Worry ifNo new partnerships are made, or current ones face problems.
Why it matters: This investment is important for Empery Digital's work in AI data centers. Finishing it shows they want to grow in this area.
Supportive ifThe investment closes successfully. Empery Digital can then move forward with the AI data center project.
Worry ifThe investment fails to close due to unmet conditions or delays.
Why it matters: First power delivery is a key step for the Cardinal Data Power project. It shows progress in meeting energy needs for AI.
Supportive ifThe West Texas data center delivers its first power as scheduled in 2027.
Worry ifDelays in power delivery push the timeline beyond 2027.