Ford Motor Company (F)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$12.67+2.92%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put F beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
Ford's cost cuts and cash flow recovery must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue fell 2% last quarter, though earnings beat expectations by 25.6%. The stock trades at 7.5 times earnings versus a 15.6 times peer median. This discount reflects modest growth expectations relative to our view. The main risk is a guidance cut after a recent raise. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 24%. Peer multiples imply a price about 34% above where it trades. Our read remains intact, but this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. F is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 20 analysts currently covering F (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for F in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare F with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automobile Manufacturers — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put F next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Reduce material and warranty costs and improve quality
S&P upgrade confirms cost cuts and cash flow recovery.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $12.67
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $12.67.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Earnings beat and tighter profit forecast improve confidence in near-term execution and outlook.
Advances: Improve capital efficiency and maintain disciplined investment
Higher 2026 EBIT outlook and an 8% 2029 margin target support profitability and disciplined capital allocation.
Threatens: Improve cost competitiveness with $1B material and warranty cost reductions
Large F-Series recall raises warranty-cost risk, challenging the $1B material and warranty reduction objective.
F-150 depreciation impacts competitive positioning and sales outlook.
Threatens: Achieve adjusted free cash flow target of $6B to $7B in 2026
Losses may hinder achieving free cash flow targets.
Threatens: Increase adjusted EBIT guidance for full-year 2026
Sales dip may hinder growth objectives for 2026.
Advances: Improve cost competitiveness with $1B material and warranty cost reductions
Restarts production enhances cost competitiveness and operational efficiency.
