FedEx (FDX)
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$329.40+3.58%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put FDX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS between $16.55 and $17.75 in fiscal 2026: Diluted EPS: $1.21 per share.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 12% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 35% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskFedEx's post-spinoff cost cuts and premium yield gains must keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 12.5% in the final quarter, and adjusted EPS beat consensus. The stock trades at 16x earnings, well below the 23x peer median. This discount suggests the market expects less growth than our model forecasts. The primary risk is that fiscal 2026 EPS lands below the $16.55 floor. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 15%. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. FDX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering FDX (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for FDX in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare FDX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Air Freight & Logistics — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put FDX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Quarterly beat and analyst support for Freight growth targets reinforce profitable growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $329.40
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $329.40.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Revenue growth across key verticals supports profitable growth, though profitability detail is absent.
Advances: Complete strategic portfolio transformation
EPS and free-cash-flow outlook plus portfolio reshaping support execution and transformation.
Threatens: Optimize the network and improve operating efficiency
Higher driver hiring costs pressure margins and operating-efficiency progress.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Quarterly earnings and revenue beat estimates, supporting profitable growth.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Raised profit outlook with better pricing and volumes indicates profitable-growth momentum.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Higher profit guidance ahead of peak season supports profitable growth.
Advances: Drive profitable growth
Freight quarterly beat offers positive segment evidence, though shares commentary is secondary.
