FedEx (FDX)
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$322.52-0.55%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put FDX beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Industrials is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue near $94.7 billion in fiscal 2026: FY26 revenue guidance $94.7B vs $94.7B target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 8% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 1% on a typical day and fell roughly 35% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskFedEx's growth in India must continue to justify its current valuation. Revenue guidance for fiscal 2026 is $94.7 billion, matching the target. The stock trades at 16× P/E versus a peer median of 24×, indicating modest expectations. The market reflects less growth than forecast, suggesting potential upside if performance improves. A specific risk is the possibility of a guidance cut, with a 15% chance of missing estimates. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% above where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. FDX is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 28 analysts currently covering FDX (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for FDX in the last 4 months.
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Compare FDX with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Air Freight & Logistics — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put FDX next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Spin-off of FedEx Freight by June 2026
Spin-off confirms management's growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $322.52
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $322.52.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Increased competition may affect pricing and margins.
Advances: Spin-off of FedEx Freight by June 2026
Investment supports growth objective through international expansion.
Advances: Spin-off of FedEx Freight by June 2026
Investment supports growth objective through high-value exports.
Advances: Spin-off of FedEx Freight by June 2026
Investment in hub aligns with growth strategy and enhances operations.
Threatens: Spin-off of FedEx Freight by June 2026
Closure of locations may hinder growth objectives.
Threatens: Achieve $1 billion in permanent cost reductions
Layoffs may hinder achieving cost reduction objectives.
Tariff refunds enhance earnings, supporting cost reduction goals.
