FIS
Fidelity National Information ServicesNYSEFinancialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, FIS has a composite score of 16.0 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The score is driven by a high confidence level of 83.0 and a guidance credibility of 100.0, despite a macro score of -7.7 indicating unfavorable conditions. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, labor, and inflation.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.11
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.50 → $1.49 (-0.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 21 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 62% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 10.1% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10%growthbehind0% progress
5/8: “The Company is reiterating its outlook, projecting Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10%.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has consistently projected Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10% for 2026. However, the diluted EPS for 2025-Q3 was 0.5, and for 2025-Q2 was -0.9, indicating limited progress towards this target so far.
- 2.Project Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31%growthbehind0% progress
5/8: “The Company is reiterating its outlook, projecting Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31%.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has reiterated its projection of Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31% for 2026. However, revenue decreased from $2.717 billion in 2025-Q3 to $2.326 billion in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards this target.
- 3.Target Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billioncapital allocationmixed35% progress
5/8: “Target for Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company targets Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion for 2026. Cash from operating activities was negative $720 million in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards this target.
Guidance track record
Last 6 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-30 | $0.55 – $0.65 | $1.61 | beat |
| 2022-03-31 | $0.15 – $0.25 | $1.47 | beat |
| 2022-06-30 | $0.40 – $0.50 | $1.73 | beat |
| 2022-09-30 | $0.40 – $0.50 | $1.74 | beat |
| 2023-03-31 | $0.05 – $0.20 | $1.29 | beat |
| 2023-06-30 | $0.30 – $0.40 | $1.55 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 45%; 252d 30%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −46%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLF) — 1.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 51/100, drawdown 8/100, beta 95/100, earnings vol —.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 6 guided quarters · 441.5% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10%
GrowthNew since 2026-05-08FIS aims for an Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10% for the fiscal year 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has consistently projected Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10% for 2026. However, the diluted EPS for 2025-Q3 was 0.5, and for 2025-Q2 was -0.9, indicating limited progress towards this target so far.
0%CEO/CFO:“The Company is reiterating its outlook, projecting Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-08Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-08Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10%”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Adjusted EPS growth of 8-10%”
- #2
Project Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31%
GrowthNew since 2026-05-08FIS projects Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31% for the fiscal year 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company has reiterated its projection of Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31% for 2026. However, revenue decreased from $2.717 billion in 2025-Q3 to $2.326 billion in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards this target.
0%CEO/CFO:“The Company is reiterating its outlook, projecting Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-08Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-08Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“projecting Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31%”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“projecting Adjusted revenue growth of 30-31%”
- #3
Target Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-08FIS targets Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion for the fiscal year 2026.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The company targets Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion for 2026. Cash from operating activities was negative $720 million in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards this target.
35%CEO/CFO:“Target for Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-08Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-08Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“target for Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“targeting Free Cash Flow of $2.05 - $2.15 billion”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
59 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
FIS Fidelity National Information Services | +16 | inexpensive | moderate |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway | +6.0 | — | moderate |
JPM JPMorgan Chase | -0.9 | full | low |
V Visa Inc. | +20 | — | low |
MA Mastercard | +15 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
- If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-08)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-08)-8.0 pts
- If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-0819h agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 8, 2026, Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026, and guidance for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, and full year ending December 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information included in this Item 2.02, including the accompanying exhibits,…
earnings preannouncement—score 65
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.