First Solar (FSLR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
$204.45-1.43%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySolarSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put FSLR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Generate free cash flow near $2B: FCF guidance $1.7B-$2.3B vs $2.0B target.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 24% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 20%.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 37% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskFirst Solar's growth trajectory relies on maintaining its revenue guidance amid favorable market conditions. Revenue grew 24% year over year in Q1 FY2026 and beat expectations by 8%. It trades at 12.6× P/E versus a peer median of 49×, suggesting the price reflects less growth than anticipated. The primary risk is the need to generate free cash flow near $2 billion, with guidance at $1.7 billion to $2.3 billion. Peer multiples imply a price about 46% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch due to pressure on a primary pillar.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. FSLR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 35 analysts currently covering FSLR (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 13 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for FSLR in the last 4 months.
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Compare FSLR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSLR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put FSLR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Upgrade reflects positive outlook on revenue growth potential.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $204.45
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $204.45.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Expand contracted sales backlog and module sales volume
New factory supports backlog expansion and module sales growth.
Advances: Maintain 2026 revenue guidance
Tariff benefits First Solar's competitive position in the market.
Potential policy changes could impact revenue guidance.
Advances: Expand contracted sales backlog and module sales volume
Clearing Section 232 boosts contracted sales backlog.
Advances: Maintain 2026 revenue guidance
Upgrade indicates positive outlook on revenue growth.
Advances: Maintain 2026 revenue guidance
Analysts see tariffs boosting revenue potential.
Advances: Maintain 2026 revenue guidance
Increased stock price indicates positive market sentiment on revenue growth.