NEW CONCEPT ENERGY INC (GBR)
AMEXReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.80+2.43%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GBR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GBR — M&A activity — Changes in Control of the Company RAI is currently the holder of 400,000 shar…
Dated 2026-08-24
Changes in Control of the Company RAI is currently the holder of 400,000 shares of Common Stock of the Company (7.79% of the outstanding shares), may be deemed to be a “Related Party” for accounting purposes and, upon consummation of the transaction described in
Why it matters: This acquisition could support growth. It is a key management priority.
Supportive ifA notice says the company has completed buying Realty Advisors, Inc.
Worry ifNo updates or delays in the acquisition process for more than three months.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is important for the company's future.
Supportive ifCash from operations turns positive in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash from operations remains negative in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Revenue growth would signal a positive trend in operations. It is critical for the company's future.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue exceeds $39,000, showing growth from Q1 2026.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue stays below $39,000. This shows no growth.
Why it matters: A bigger loss shows worse financial health and more problems.
Worry ifNet loss exceeds $66,000 in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifNet loss is less than or equal to $66,000 in Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$198 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $604 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,894 loss on $10,000 · 48.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Stable or growing revenue is crucial for the company's financial health.
Supportive ifManagement fees increase to more than $15,000 in the next quarter.
Worry ifManagement fees drop below $15,000 in the next quarter.