NEW CONCEPT ENERGY INC (GBR)
AMEXReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.60-3.63%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GBR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 7 industry peers
GBR — M&A activity — Changes in Control of the Company RAI is currently the holder of 400,000 shar…
Dated 2026-08-24
Changes in Control of the Company RAI is currently the holder of 400,000 shares of Common Stock of the Company (7.79% of the outstanding shares), may be deemed to be a “Related Party” for accounting purposes and, upon consummation of the transaction described in
Why it matters: These costs rose to $206,000 in the first half, while revenue was only $80,000. More cost growth would deepen operating losses.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows general and administrative costs above $206,000 year to date, or above $129,000 per quarter.
Less concerning ifThe Q3 report shows year-to-date costs at or below $206,000 and quarterly costs below $129,000.
Why it matters: Revenue was $80,000 in the first half of 2026, with rent flat and management fees slightly higher. A higher Q3 total would show growth continued.
Supportive ifThe Q3 report shows total revenue above $80,000, with rent at least $52,000 or management fees above $28,000 for the first half.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows total revenue at or below $80,000, or rent falls below $52,000 for the first half.
Why it matters: The stated cash goal is behind, and recent cash flow figures in the supplied priority note were negative. A positive Q3 result would mark progress.
Watch forThe Q3 filing shows positive cash from operations for the quarter.
Also watch forThe Q3 filing shows negative cash from operations for the quarter.
Why it matters: The first-half loss was $80,000, and the company has posted losses in both 2026 quarters. A larger loss would show the cash earnings gap is growing.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows a year-to-date net loss greater than $80,000.
Less concerning ifThe Q3 report shows a year-to-date net loss of $80,000 or less, or net income for the quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$220 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $624 loss on $10,000 · 6.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,474 loss on $10,000 · 44.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.