Golden Entertainment (GDEN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
$28.550.00%
Close 2026-05-01 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GDEN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GDEN — M&A activity — Changes in Control of Registrant
Dated 2026-04-30
Changes in Control of Registrant. The information set forth above under Introduction and in Items 1.02, 2.01, 3.01 and 5.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K12B is incorporated by reference into this
Why it matters: Shareholders approved the deal, but it still needs regulatory approval and other closing steps. Closing would end GDEN's public listing.
Supportive ifA company filing or press release confirms all needed approvals and that the deal has closed.
Worry ifThe deal ends, or a filing says a needed approval or closing condition failed.
Why it matters: The transaction could end if conditions fail or the agreement is terminated. The company also named deal-related lawsuits as a risk.
Worry ifA filing reports that the MTA ended, a termination fee is due, or a court action blocks the deal.
Less concerning ifThe deal closes with no reported termination fee or court order blocking it.
Why it matters: The company said closing was anticipated in Q2 2026. A delay would put the stated deal timing in doubt.
Worry ifThe deal remains open after June 30, 2026, or the company announces a later closing date.
Less concerning ifA filing or press release confirms the deal closed by June 30, 2026.
Why it matters: Casino resort revenue fell about 6% in 2025. A further drop would add to the recent weakness in sales and earnings.
Worry ifA later report shows Nevada Casino Resorts revenue down year over year by more than 5%.
Less concerning ifA later report shows Nevada Casino Resorts revenue was flat or higher year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$68 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $254 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,547 loss on $10,000 · 15.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.