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GL

Globe Life

NYSEFinancialsInsurance - LifeSnapshot 2026-05-08

$151.08-0.90%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, GL has a composite score of 21.2, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.0 and reflects strengths in management (71.0) and quality (80.2), while facing challenges from macroeconomic factors, particularly a macro score of -7.7. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the data may be subject to change.

Composite +21as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 20% of financials cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.05
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
327327339383
F2 · Value
cheap
Cheapest 20% of financials cohort
Why this rank
Price
$151.08
TTM EPS
$13.89
Earnings yield
9.2%
P/E (TTM)
10.9

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,071
TTM CFO ($M)
1,402
CFO/NI
1.31
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish8 analysts, 73% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $3.71 → $3.69 (-0.6% / 30d). 2 raised, 3 cut, 8 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 73% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 20.5% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Increase EPS guidance for 2026growthbehind0% progress
    4/22: The Company also increased full-year 2026 earnings guidance to a range of $15.40 to $15.90.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS guidance increased from $14.95-$15.65 to $15.40-$15.90 for 2026, reflecting a $0.35 increase at the midpoint. This suggests a positive outlook, with the company delivering on its growth trajectory.

  2. 2.Repurchase shares of common stockcapital allocationmixed35% progress
    4/22: 1.4 million shares of Globe Life Inc. common stock were repurchased during the quarter.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Globe Life repurchased 1.4 million shares in Q1 2026, following 1.3 million in Q4 2025. This consistent buyback activity indicates a focus on capital allocation, with the company delivering on its repurchase strategy.

  3. 3.Increase life and health net salesgrowthmixed63% progress
    4/22: Life net sales grew at each division, resulting in a 6% increase in total life net sales over the year-ago quarter.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Life net sales increased 6% in Q1 2026, following an 11% increase in Q4 2025. Health net sales also showed strong growth. The company is delivering on its growth strategy in life and health segments.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
lowworst 12m loss −11%, typical day ±0.8%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 16%; 252d 20%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −11%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLF) 0.70 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 96/100.

Sub-scores — vol 66/100, drawdown 78/100, beta 70/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-9.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLF

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite71.0 / 100Provisional · capped at 85
Capital allocation75
Earnings discipline61
Margin discipline
Balance sheet87
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction49
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Increase EPS guidance for 2026

    Growth

    Globe Life increased its full-year 2026 earnings guidance to a range of $15.40 to $15.90 per share.

    Behind

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS guidance increased from $14.95-$15.65 to $15.40-$15.90 for 2026, reflecting a $0.35 increase at the midpoint. This suggests a positive outlook, with the company delivering on its growth trajectory.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:The Company also increased full-year 2026 earnings guidance to a range of $15.40 to $15.90.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-22
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      The Company also increased full-year 2026 earnings guidance to a range of $15.40 to $15.90.

    • 2025-Q4Press release

      Globe Life projects net operating income between $14.95 to $15.65 per diluted common share for the year ending December 31, 2026.

  • #2

    Repurchase shares of common stock

    Capital allocation

    Globe Life continues its share repurchase program, buying back 1.4 million shares in Q1 2026.

    Mixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Globe Life repurchased 1.4 million shares in Q1 2026, following 1.3 million in Q4 2025. This consistent buyback activity indicates a focus on capital allocation, with the company delivering on its repurchase strategy.

    35%
    CEO/CFO:1.4 million shares of Globe Life Inc. common stock were repurchased during the quarter.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-22
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      1.4 million shares of Globe Life Inc. common stock were repurchased during the quarter.

    • 2025-Q4Press release

      1.3 million shares of Globe Life Inc. common stock were repurchased during the quarter.

  • #3

    Increase life and health net sales

    Growth

    Globe Life aims to grow life and health net sales, with significant increases reported across divisions.

    Mixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Life net sales increased 6% in Q1 2026, following an 11% increase in Q4 2025. Health net sales also showed strong growth. The company is delivering on its growth strategy in life and health segments.

    63%
    CEO/CFO:Life net sales grew at each division, resulting in a 6% increase in total life net sales over the year-ago quarter.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-22
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      Life net sales grew at each division, resulting in a 6% increase in total life net sales over the year-ago quarter.

    • 2025-Q4Press release

      Net sales of life insurance increased 11% for the quarter, and net health sales increased 71%.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
80higher = cheaper

Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.

Compared to its own history
79higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
10.2x
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
GL
Globe Life
+21fairlow
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
+6.0moderate
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
-0.9fulllow
V
Visa Inc.
+20low
MA
Mastercard
+15fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.8%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-1.8%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-10.9%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
lowas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
  • If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-04-22)-16 pts
  • If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-3.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-044d agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Other Officers. (a) Not applicable. (b) Linda L. Addison and Marilyn A. Alexander retired from the Globe Life Inc. Board of Directors at the Annual Meeting of Shareholders on April 30, 2026. (c) Not applicable. (d) Not applicable. (e) Not applicable.

    executive changeneutralscore 51
  2. 2026-04-2217d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 22, 2026, Globe Life Inc. issued a press release announcing its first quarter 2026 financial results. A copy of the press release is incorporated herein by reference and is provided as Exhibit 99.1. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information included or incorporated in this report (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Excha…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 45
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-25 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.