LIBERTY CAPITAL CORP (GLIBA)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$24.71+7.11%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GLIBA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -55.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is on a run of consecutive earnings misses. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers
GLIBA — debt issuance
Dated 2026-10-28
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 28, 2026, GCI, LLC (“GCI”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Liberty Capital Corporation, a Nevada corporation (“Liberty Capital”), entered into Amendment No. 3 to Ninth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the “Amendment No. 3”) by and among GCI, the subsidiary guarantors party thereto, the incremental lenders party thereto, and Credit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank, as administrative agent, which amended GCI’s Ninth Amended and Re…
Why it matters: GCI amended its credit deal on Oct. 28, after adding financing capacity in June. The next filing can show how much debt and cash cost the deal adds.
Worry ifA filing shows new borrowing under the amended credit deal and a higher GCI debt balance.
Less concerning ifA filing shows no added borrowing, or a lower GCI debt balance after the amendment.
Why it matters: The deal is tied to new GCI financing and could add to cash needs. A close would confirm progress on the stated plan.
Watch forLiberty Capital says GCI closed the Quintillion acquisition by Dec. 31, 2026.
Also watch forGCI reports that the deal did not close by Dec. 31, 2026, or that it was ended.
Why it matters: Second-quarter OIBDA fell 11% to $96 million. A rise would show that cash earnings are improving.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 5 report shows quarterly Adjusted OIBDA above $96 million year over year, with a higher margin than 36.8%.
Worry ifThe Nov. 5 report shows Adjusted OIBDA below $96 million or a margin below 36.8%.
Why it matters: GCI plans $290 million in net capital spending this year. Staying near that level would protect cash flow.
Supportive ifThe company reports 2026 net capital spending of $290 million or less.
Worry ifThe company raises its 2026 net capital spending outlook to more than $290 million.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $371 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,126 loss on $10,000 · 51.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.