GNRC
GeneracNYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachinerySnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, GNRC has a composite score of 13.3 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by various factors, including a macro score of 30.0 and a sector score of 16.7. The current analysis is provisional, reflecting medium confidence at 72.6. Key drivers include macroeconomic conditions related to growth and labor.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.41
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.97 → $1.97 (+0.1% / 30d). 7 raised, 6 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 8 maintained. 57% of analysts rate Buy.
7 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 14.5% above current price.
2 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase net sales growth guidancegrowthmixed65% progress
4/29: “The Company is updating its full-year 2026 net sales growth guidance to be in the mid-to-high teens percent range.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net sales increased 12% to $1.06 billion during the first quarter of 2026, supporting the updated guidance for mid-to-high teens percent growth. The trajectory is delivering on the revised guidance.
- 2.Improve adjusted EBITDA margincostmixed65% progress
4/29: “Adjusted EBITDA margin is now expected to be approximately 18.5 to 19.5%, an increase from the previous guidance range.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA was $193 million, or 18.3% of net sales, in 2026-Q1, indicating progress towards the updated margin guidance of 18.5 to 19.5%. The trajectory shows improvement in margin expansion.
- 3.Complete strategic acquisitionscapital allocationmixed44% progress
4/29: “The Company completed the acquisition of Enercon, a leading designer and manufacturer of generator enclosures.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The acquisition of Enercon in 2026-Q1 and Allmand in 2025-Q4 demonstrates Generac's commitment to strategic acquisitions. The trajectory shows active pursuit of growth through acquisitions.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 57%; 252d 50%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −33%. Bad day move −4%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 1.50 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 17/100, drawdown 35/100, beta 50/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase net sales growth guidance
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Generac aims to achieve net sales growth in the mid-to-high teens percent range for 2026.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net sales increased 12% to $1.06 billion during the first quarter of 2026, supporting the updated guidance for mid-to-high teens percent growth. The trajectory is delivering on the revised guidance.
65%CEO/CFO:“The Company is updating its full-year 2026 net sales growth guidance to be in the mid-to-high teens percent range.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“The Company is updating its full-year 2026 net sales growth guidance to be in the mid-to-high teens percent range.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“The Company is initiating its full-year 2026 net sales growth guidance to be in the mid-teens percent range.”
- #2
Improve adjusted EBITDA margin
CostNew since 2026-05-04Generac aims to improve its adjusted EBITDA margin to approximately 18.5 to 19.5% for 2026.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA was $193 million, or 18.3% of net sales, in 2026-Q1, indicating progress towards the updated margin guidance of 18.5 to 19.5%. The trajectory shows improvement in margin expansion.
65%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted EBITDA margin is now expected to be approximately 18.5 to 19.5%, an increase from the previous guidance range.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“Adjusted EBITDA margin is now expected to be approximately 18.5 to 19.5%.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be approximately 18.0 to 19.0%.”
- #3
Complete strategic acquisitions
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Generac is focused on completing strategic acquisitions to enhance its market position.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The acquisition of Enercon in 2026-Q1 and Allmand in 2025-Q4 demonstrates Generac's commitment to strategic acquisitions. The trajectory shows active pursuit of growth through acquisitions.
44%CEO/CFO:“The Company completed the acquisition of Enercon, a leading designer and manufacturer of generator enclosures.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“The Company completed the acquisition of Enercon.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“The Company completed the acquisition of Allmand.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GNRC Generac | +13 | full | elevated |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-04-29)-16 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-3.7 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-299d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 29, 2026, Generac Holdings Inc. (the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 58 - 2026-04-299d agoItem 7.01
of this Current Report on Form 8-K (including the exhibits) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, ex…
mna activitypositivescore 42 - 2026-03-251mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On March 20, 2026, at the recommendation of the Human Capital and Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors (the “Committee”), the Company approved certain incremental equity awards to be granted to Norm Taffe, the Company’s Executive Vice President and President, Generac Home, and Erik Wilde, the Company’s Executive Vice President and Presid…
executive changeneutralscore 20 - 2026-03-251mo agoItem 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure On March 25, 2026, Generac Holdings Inc. (the “Company”, “we”, “us”, or “our”) announced its plan to reorganize its two reportable segments, effective March 31, 2026 (the “Reorganization”). Prior to the Reorganization, the Company’s two reportable segments were: Domestic and International. As a result of the Reorganization, the Company’s two reportable segments will be: Residential and Commercial & Industrial (“C&I”). The Residential segment consists of the former Dom…
mna activitypositivescore 19 - 2026-02-112mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 11, 2026, Generac Holdings Inc. (the “Company,” “we,” “us” or “our”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K (including the exhibits) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for…
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 11
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.