Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-09-04
$8.90-0.22%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GWRS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 167.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 164.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GWRS — private placement
Dated 2026-08-21
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 20, 2026, Global Water Resources, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a securities purchase agreement (the “Securities Purchase Agreement”) with the purchasers identified on the signature pages thereto (collectively, the “Purchasers”) for the issuance and sale by the Company of an aggregate of 1,129,944 shares of the Company’s common stock (the “Shares”) to the Purchasers in an offering (the “Private Placement”) exempt from registration purs…
Why it matters: A decision could confirm the $2.3 million revenue increase, supporting growth plans.
Supportive ifThe Arizona Corporation Commission has approved a rate increase for GW-Santa Cruz. This will start on November 1, 2026.
Worry ifThe commission denies the rate increase or delays the decision beyond Q4 2026.
Why it matters: The decision will affect revenue growth and rate increases for GW-Santa Cruz. A good outcome helps with infrastructure investment.
Supportive ifThe judge supports the proposed $2.3 million annual revenue increase.
Worry ifThe judge denies the proposed rate increase or delays it a lot.
Why it matters: A slowdown in revenue growth may show weak demand. It could also mean operational issues.
Worry ifQ3 total revenue growth is below 24.8% year-over-year.
Less concerning ifQ3 total revenue growth is above 24.8% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insight into revenue growth and the impact of recent rate increases.
Watch forQ2 2026 revenue shows a big increase from last year. This means growth.
Also watch forQ2 2026 revenue goes down or stays the same from last year. This shows problems.
Why it matters: Updates on this case are important. They affect future money made from wastewater services.
Watch forGW-Palo Verde shares a timeline. They will re-file their rate application in 2027.
Also watch forNo updates are provided on the GW-Palo Verde rate case by the end of Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Stabilizing or improving revenue would show progress in management's goal for growth. Recent revenue decline raises concerns.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth turns positive year over year or stabilizes above $132.86M.
Worry ifQ2 revenue continues to decline year over year below $132.86M.
Why it matters: The utilities sector is maturing. If revenue growth picks up, it could benefit GWRS.
Supportive ifUtilities sector revenue growth is speeding up toward its past highs.
Worry ifRevenue growth keeps slowing. This shows the sector still faces challenges.
Why it matters: Higher growth in service connections would signal strong demand and support revenue growth.
Supportive ifActive service connections grow more than 5.8% year-over-year. This will show in the next report.
Worry ifActive service connections grow by less than 5.8% from last year.
Why it matters: New rates start on November 1, 2026. They could help revenue and fund projects.
Supportive ifThe company announces the new rates for GW-Santa Cruz as planned.
Worry ifThe company will announce new rates after November 1, 2026.
Why it matters: Investments are key for growth. They help improve service quality in expanding areas.
Supportive ifInvestments in infrastructure lead to more water use and new service connections soon.
Worry ifInfrastructure investments do not lead to more water use or service connections in the next quarters.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$125 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $367 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,816 loss on $10,000 · 38.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.