HAS
HasbroNASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryLeisureSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, HAS has a composite score of 5.9, indicating a mixed signal with medium confidence at 72.0. The score is influenced by various factors, including a macro score of 17.9 and a sector score of 12.3, both contributing to a moderate risk label. The analysis is provisional, reflecting ongoing uncertainties in guidance and sector trends.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.01
- Slope (norm)0.38
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.31 → $1.25 (-4.4% / 30d). 2 raised, 7 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 81% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 26.3% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
Transition story with positive analyst positioning — often a turnaround setup.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
6 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2026-01-22HAS — CEO transitionimpact 0.60
- 2026-04-01HAS — litigation filedimpact 0.38
- 2026-03-12HAS — share buyback announcedimpact 0.34
- 2026-02-20HAS — credit agreementimpact 0.32
- 2026-03-12HAS — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.27
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase revenue by 3%-5%growthmixed65% progress
4/23: “The Company continues to expect: Total Hasbro revenue +3%-5% in constant currency.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $1.00B in 2025-Q1 to $1.64B in 2025-Q4, indicating progress towards the 3%-5% growth target. The trajectory is delivering on the stated priority.
- 2.Achieve 24%-25% operating margincostbehind14% progress
4/23: “Adjusted operating margin of 24%-25%.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating income was $297.5M in 2025-Q4, but the margin target of 24%-25% remains challenging given the previous guidance of 22%-23%. Limited progress towards the higher margin target.
- 3.Reach $1.40-$1.45 billion EBITDAgrowthmixed65% progress
2/10: “Adjusted EBITDA of $1.40 billion to $1.45 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The target of $1.40-$1.45 billion EBITDA shows an increase from the previous guidance of $1.24-$1.26 billion, indicating a positive trajectory towards achieving the goal.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 40%; 252d 28%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −16%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLY) — 0.07 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 54/100, drawdown 68/100, beta 7/100, earnings vol —.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase revenue by 3%-5%
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Aim to grow total Hasbro revenue by 3%-5% in constant currency for the fiscal year.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue grew from $1.00B in 2025-Q1 to $1.64B in 2025-Q4, indicating progress towards the 3%-5% growth target. The trajectory is delivering on the stated priority.
65%CEO/CFO:“The Company continues to expect: Total Hasbro revenue +3%-5% in constant currency.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Total Hasbro revenue +3%-5% in constant currency.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Total Hasbro revenue to grow high-single digits in constant currency.”
- #2
Achieve 24%-25% operating margin
CostNew since 2026-05-04Target an adjusted operating margin of 24%-25% for the fiscal year.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating income was $297.5M in 2025-Q4, but the margin target of 24%-25% remains challenging given the previous guidance of 22%-23%. Limited progress towards the higher margin target.
14%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted operating margin of 24%-25%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Adjusted operating margin of 24%-25%.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Adjusted operating margin of 22%-23%.”
- #3
Reach $1.40-$1.45 billion EBITDA
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Aim to achieve adjusted EBITDA of $1.40 billion to $1.45 billion for the fiscal year.
On track →MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The target of $1.40-$1.45 billion EBITDA shows an increase from the previous guidance of $1.24-$1.26 billion, indicating a positive trajectory towards achieving the goal.
65%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted EBITDA of $1.40 billion to $1.45 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-10Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Adjusted EBITDA of $1.40 billion to $1.45 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Adjusted EBITDA of $1.24 to $1.26 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
44 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
HAS Hasbro | +5.9 | fair | moderate |
AMZN Amazon | +16 | full | moderate |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.4 | expensive | elevated |
HD Home Depot (The) | +14 | full | moderate |
CVNA Carvana | +14 | — | high |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)-8.0 pts
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2315d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 23, 2026 , Hasbro, Inc. ("Hasbro" or the "Company”) announced certain preliminary financial information for the fiscal quarter ended March 29, 2026, and provided an update on the Company’s previously disclosed unauthorized network access. This information, as well as a copy of the press release, which is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1, is incorporated by reference herein. The information furnished in Item 2.02, including the Exhibit a…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 51 - 2026-04-011mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events On March 28, 2026, Hasbro, Inc. (the “Company”) identified unauthorized access to the Company’s network. Upon discovery, the Company promptly activated its security incident response protocols, implemented containment measures, including proactively taking certain systems offline, and launched an investigation with the assistance of third-party cybersecurity professionals. The Company’s investigation is ongoing, and it is working diligently to resolve the matter and determine the…
legal regulatorynegativescore 22 - 2026-03-121mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 12, 2026, Hasbro, Inc. (the “Company”) completed a registered public offering (the “Notes Offering”) of $400,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 4.650% notes due 2031 (the “Notes”), pursuant to the Company’s shelf registration statement on Form S-3 (Registration File No. 333-279146) (the “Registration Statement”). The Notes were issued pursuant to the indenture (the “Base Indenture”), dated as of March 15, 2000, between the Company and Th…
capital allocationpositivescore 18 - 2026-03-121mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information provided in
capital allocationnegativescore 14 - 2026-02-202mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 20, 2026 (the “Effective Date”), Hasbro, Inc. (the “Company” or the “Borrower”) entered into a Fourth Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement (the “Amended Agreement”) with Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent, swing line lender, L/C issuer and lender, and certain other financial institutions, as L/C issuers and/or lenders. The Amended Agreement amends and restates the Borrower’s Third Amended and Restated Revolving Cre…
capital allocationneutralscore 11
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.