HII
Huntington Ingalls IndustriesNYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, HII has a composite score of 8.0 and a signal label of "mixed." The company momentum score has decreased significantly, falling by 26.1 points to -20.5. This change in momentum and the shift in signal label are key factors influencing the current scoring. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.22
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $4.27 → $3.87 (-9.5% / 30d). 3 raised, 1 cut, 5 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 38% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase shipbuilding throughput by ~15% in 2026growthmixed63% progressprovisional
2/5: “CEO: 'Our focus in 2026 is clear: We must build on this momentum, and continue to increase our shipbuilding throughput.'”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. HII reported a shipbuilding throughput growth of ~14% in 2025, with a target of ~15% growth in 2026. The financials show a revenue increase from $11.5 billion in 2024 to $12.5 billion in 2025, indicating progress. However, specific throughput numbers for 2026 are not yet available, making it difficult to assess delivery on this target.
- 2.Achieve FY26 Mission Technologies revenue of $3.0-$3.2Bgrowthbehind0% progress
5/5: “Guidance: 'FY26 Mission Technologies revenue between $3.0 and $3.2 billion.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Mission Technologies revenue was $3.0 billion in 2025, with a target of $3.0-$3.2 billion for FY26. The segment showed a modest growth of 3.6% from 2024 to 2025, indicating a need for continued focus to meet the upper end of the guidance range.
- 3.Achieve FY26 free cash flow of $500-$600Mcapital allocationmixed35% progress
5/5: “Guidance: 'FY26 free cash flow between $500 and $600 million.'”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Free cash flow was $800 million in 2025, exceeding the FY26 target range of $500-$600 million. This suggests a strong cash flow position, but maintaining this level will require continued operational efficiency and revenue growth.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 43%; 252d 34%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −31%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.95 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 43/100, drawdown 39/100, beta 95/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · company_momentum_scoreseverity 44
Company momentum fell by 26.1 points (from 5.6 to -20.5).
- label change · signal_labelseverity 30
Signal changed from 'mild_favorable' to 'mixed'.
As of May 8, 2026, HII's company momentum score decreased by 26.1 points, changing from 5.6 to -20.5. The signal label transitioned from "mild_favorable" to "mixed."
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase shipbuilding throughput by ~15% in 2026
GrowthHII aims to build on its 2025 shipbuilding throughput growth of ~14% by targeting ~15% growth in 2026.
MixedNewly stated in 2025-Q4. HII reported a shipbuilding throughput growth of ~14% in 2025, with a target of ~15% growth in 2026. The financials show a revenue increase from $11.5 billion in 2024 to $12.5 billion in 2025, indicating progress. However, specific throughput numbers for 2026 are not yet available, making it difficult to assess delivery on this target.
63%CEO/CFO:“CEO: 'Our focus in 2026 is clear: We must build on this momentum, and continue to increase our shipbuilding throughput.'”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-05Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-05provisionalShow history (1)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“CEO: 'Our focus in 2026 is clear: We must build on this momentum, and continue to increase our shipbuilding throughput.'”
- #2
Achieve FY26 Mission Technologies revenue of $3.0-$3.2B
GrowthNew since 2026-05-05HII targets Mission Technologies segment revenue between $3.0 and $3.2 billion for FY26.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Mission Technologies revenue was $3.0 billion in 2025, with a target of $3.0-$3.2 billion for FY26. The segment showed a modest growth of 3.6% from 2024 to 2025, indicating a need for continued focus to meet the upper end of the guidance range.
0%CEO/CFO:“Guidance: 'FY26 Mission Technologies revenue between $3.0 and $3.2 billion.'”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-05Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-05Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Guidance: 'FY26 Mission Technologies revenue between $3.0 and $3.2 billion.'”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Guidance: 'FY26 Mission Technologies revenue between $3.0 to $3.2 billion.'”
- #3
Achieve FY26 free cash flow of $500-$600M
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-05HII aims for free cash flow between $500 and $600 million for FY26.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Free cash flow was $800 million in 2025, exceeding the FY26 target range of $500-$600 million. This suggests a strong cash flow position, but maintaining this level will require continued operational efficiency and revenue growth.
35%CEO/CFO:“Guidance: 'FY26 free cash flow between $500 and $600 million.'”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-05Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-05Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Guidance: 'FY26 free cash flow between $500 and $600 million.'”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Guidance: 'FY26 free cash flow between $500 and $600 million.'”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries | +8.0 | fair | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-053d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. Also furnished as Exhibit 99.2 is the corporation’s earnings presentation for the first quarter 2026 earnings release conference call.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 61 - 2026-02-053mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 5, 2026, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. Also furnished as Exhibit 99.2 is the corporation’s earnings presentation for the fourth quarter 2025 earnings release conference call.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.