HON
HoneywellNASDAQIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, HON has a composite score of 25.9 and is labeled as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 74.9 and a low risk label, with strengths in management (71.7) and valuation (71.7), indicating it is considered inexpensive. The analysis is provisional and reflects various macroeconomic factors as top drivers.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.20
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $2.56 → $2.42 (-5.3% / 30d). 0 raised, 14 cut, 17 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 58% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 13.4% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
13 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Maintain revenue growthgrowthbehind0% progressprovisional
1/29: “The company expects sales of $38.8 billion to $39.8 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue was $10.88B in 2024-Q4 and $10.35B in 2025-Q2, showing limited progress. The guidance for 2026 is $38.8B to $39.8B, indicating a focus on maintaining growth, but the trajectory is behind expectations.
- 2.Sustain free cash flow expectationscapital allocationmixed35% progressprovisional
1/29: “Free cash flow is expected to be $5.3 billion to $5.6 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities was $5.204B in 2025-Q3, aligning with the free cash flow guidance of $5.3B to $5.6B for 2026. The company is maintaining its cash flow expectations, but the trajectory is behind.
- 3.Achieve adjusted EPS growthgrowthmixed63% progressprovisional
1/29: “Expect 2026 Adjusted EPS of $10.35 - $10.65, Up 6% - 9%.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Diluted EPS was 2.86 in 2025-Q3, with guidance for 2026 Adjusted EPS at $10.35 - $10.65, indicating a focus on growth. However, the trajectory is behind expectations, with limited progress in EPS growth.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 26%; 252d 22%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −16%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.87 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 64/100, drawdown 68/100, beta 87/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 3.8% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Maintain revenue growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on sustaining revenue growth despite market challenges.
BehindStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue was $10.88B in 2024-Q4 and $10.35B in 2025-Q2, showing limited progress. The guidance for 2026 is $38.8B to $39.8B, indicating a focus on maintaining growth, but the trajectory is behind expectations.
Revenue was $10.88B in 2024-Q4 and $10.35B in 2025-Q20%CEO/CFO:“The company expects sales of $38.8 billion to $39.8 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-29Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We continue to expect full-year sales of $38.8 billion to $39.8 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Full-year sales are now expected to be $39.6 billion to $40.5 billion.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Guidance now includes the impact of the Solstice Advanced Materials spin-off.”
- #2
Sustain free cash flow expectations
Capital allocationNew since 2026-05-04Ensure free cash flow remains within the expected range.
Behind →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Cash from operating activities was $5.204B in 2025-Q3, aligning with the free cash flow guidance of $5.3B to $5.6B for 2026. The company is maintaining its cash flow expectations, but the trajectory is behind.
Cash from operating activities was $5.204B in 2025-Q335%CEO/CFO:“Free cash flow is expected to be $5.3 billion to $5.6 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-29Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Free cash flow expectations are unchanged at $5.3 billion to $5.6 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Free cash flow in the range of $5.2 billion to $5.6 billion.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Free cash flow is still expected to be in the range of $5.4 billion to $5.8 billion.”
- #3
Achieve adjusted EPS growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Target growth in adjusted earnings per share.
Behind →MixedStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Diluted EPS was 2.86 in 2025-Q3, with guidance for 2026 Adjusted EPS at $10.35 - $10.65, indicating a focus on growth. However, the trajectory is behind expectations, with limited progress in EPS growth.
63%CEO/CFO:“Expect 2026 Adjusted EPS of $10.35 - $10.65, Up 6% - 9%.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-29Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Expect 2026 Adjusted EPS of $10.35 - $10.65, Up 6% - 9%.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Adjusted earnings per share is now expected to be in the range of $10.60 to $10.70.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Adjusted earnings per share is now expected to be in the range of $10.45 to $10.65.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
HON Honeywell | +26 | inexpensive | low |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-23)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-23)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2315d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 23, 2026, Honeywell International Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its first quarter 2026 earnings, which is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that Section and shall not be deemed to…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 46 - 2026-04-2315d agoItem 8.01
Other Events Honeywell International Inc. (the “Company”) is filing this Current Report on Form 8-K to recast historical segment information as set forth in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on February 17, 2026 (“Original Report”). As previously disclosed and as reflected in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended March 31, 2026, effective the first quarter of 20…
capital allocationneutralscore 36 - 2026-03-211mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events Honeywell Debt Tender Offers On March 20, 2026, Honeywell International Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Honeywell”), issued a press release announcing the results, as of 5:00 p.m., New York City time on March 19, 2026, of its previously announced tender offers to purchase for cash certain of the existing debt securities issued by Honeywell (the “Tender Offers”). A copy of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. In addition, on March 20,…
capital allocationneutralscore 17 - 2026-03-062mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On March 6, 2026, Honeywell entered into the 364-Day Credit Agreement and the Five-Year Credit Agreement, each as defined and described below under
capital allocationneutralscore 15 - 2026-03-161mo agoItem 1.02
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement On March 16, 2026, Honeywell International Inc., a Delaware corporation (“Honeywell”), repaid in full all outstanding obligations under, and terminated, its $1.0 billion fixed rate term loan credit agreement, dated as of August 12, 2024, with the banks, financial institutions and other institutional lenders party thereto, and Bank of America, N.A. (“Bank of America”), as administrative agent.
mna activitynegativescore 15
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.