Ivanhoe Electric Inc / US (IE)
AMEXMaterialsCopperSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.99+1.63%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXMaterialsCopperSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 428.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 419.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IE — business exit
Dated 2026-05-29
Entry Into A Material Definitive Contract. As previously disclosed in the Current Report on Form 8-K of Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (the “Company”) filed on May 11, 2026, the Company secured a legally binding option to acquire the Crossover XRE Tunnel Boring Machine (“TBM”) from The Robbins Company (“Robbins”) in March 2026. On May 28, 2026, the Company, through its wholly owned subsidiary Mesa Cobre Holding Corporation (“Mesa Cobre”), entered into an Agreement for the Purchase, Supply, Transport,…
Why it matters: The partnership may help with exploration and development. This could create new growth chances.
Supportive ifNew news or investments from the partnership will be shared in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo updates or progress reported in the partnership within the next quarter.
Why it matters: This acquisition is key for Ivanhoe Electric's growth. Delays could hurt future plans.
Supportive ifA public announcement says the Crossover XRE Tunnel Boring Machine was bought.
Worry ifNo progress or further delays in the acquisition process.
Why it matters: Beginning decline development is a major step toward copper production. It shows the project is on track.
Supportive ifDecline development at the Santa Cruz Copper Project starts in Q3 2027 as planned.
Worry ifDevelopment plans are delayed past Q3 2027.
Why it matters: This machine is crucial for future projects. Delays may impact operations.
Supportive ifThe Tunnel Boring Machine will be acquired and working by Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe acquisition of the Tunnel Boring Machine is delayed beyond Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Finalizing the TBM purchase will enhance mine access and reduce project risks at Santa Cruz.
Supportive ifIvanhoe Electric will finish agreements for the TBM purchase by May 31, 2026.
Worry ifIvanhoe Electric fails to finalize the TBM acquisition by the end of May 2026.
Why it matters: This purchase is important for mine access. It improves safety and efficiency.
Supportive ifIvanhoe Electric will finish buying the Robbins TBM by the end of May 2026.
Worry ifThe acquisition of the Robbins TBM is not completed as planned.
Why it matters: This milestone is key for progress and future income from the Santa Cruz project.
Supportive ifIvanhoe Electric confirms the timeline for placing first oxide copper ore on heap leach pads in Q4 2028.
Worry ifThe timeline for first ore placement is pushed back or delayed.
Why it matters: The sector has been going down. Growth could mean recovery and better investor feelings.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive in the next quarter.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative in the next quarter.
Why it matters: This acquisition is key for growth. It may boost revenue in the future.
Supportive ifCordoba Minerals will bring in over $1M in revenue next quarter.
Worry ifCordoba Minerals will not add much to revenue next quarter.
Why it matters: Getting funding is key for advancing the Santa Cruz Copper Project.
Supportive ifIvanhoe Electric gets project debt funding from the Export-Import Bank by Q3 2026.
Worry ifIvanhoe Electric fails to secure financing by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: The new CEO can change how the company performs and plans.
Watch forNet income improves significantly beyond $41.7M in the next quarter.
Also watch forNet income declines or stays below $41.7M in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Assembly of the TBM is crucial for mine access development. It impacts project timelines.
Supportive ifThe Robbins Tunnel Boring Machine is assembled on site by Q1 2027.
Worry ifThe assembly of the Robbins Tunnel Boring Machine is postponed beyond Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Updates on production timelines show progress in the Santa Cruz Copper Project. Delays may hurt investor trust.
Watch forFirst copper cathode production is confirmed to start in Q2 2029.
Also watch forFirst copper cathode production is pushed back beyond Q2 2029.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$253 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $777 loss on $10,000 · 7.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,944 loss on $10,000 · 59.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.