Ivanhoe Electric Inc / US (IE)
AMEXMaterialsCopperSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.03-9.41%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXMaterialsCopperSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 428.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 419.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
IE — business exit
Dated 2026-05-29
Entry Into A Material Definitive Contract. As previously disclosed in the Current Report on Form 8-K of Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (the “Company”) filed on May 11, 2026, the Company secured a legally binding option to acquire the Crossover XRE Tunnel Boring Machine (“TBM”) from The Robbins Company (“Robbins”) in March 2026. On May 28, 2026, the Company, through its wholly owned subsidiary Mesa Cobre Holding Corporation (“Mesa Cobre”), entered into an Agreement for the Purchase, Supply, Transport,…
Why it matters: Santa Cruz still needs permits for later project work and capital to build. Clear progress would lower key project risks.
Watch forOn Nov. 4, management names new permits secured or gives firm terms for project funding.
Also watch forManagement reports a permit delay, a funding gap, or no clear next step for either.
Why it matters: The TBM is the planned way to build mine access. Late delivery or assembly could delay decline work.
Worry ifThe TBM arrives in Arizona, and onsite assembly starts in Q1 2027.
Less concerning ifThe TBM has not arrived or assembly has not started by the end of Q1 2027.
Why it matters: The sector has been shrinking, though recent data hints at a change. Positive growth would support a better backdrop for materials firms.
Supportive ifMaterials sector three-year revenue growth turns above 0%.
Worry ifMaterials sector three-year revenue growth stays at or below 0%.
Why it matters: Decline work opens the path to underground mine development. A start on time would support the stated build plan.
Supportive ifThe company reports that TBM decline development began by the end of Q3 2027.
Worry ifDecline development has not begun by the end of Q3 2027, or the company moves the start date later.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$278 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $789 loss on $10,000 · 7.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,205 loss on $10,000 · 62.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The new study updates the mine plan around the tunnel boring machine. Changes to cost or timing could alter the project case.
Watch forThe September 23 study keeps the TBM’s net added start-up cost below $20 million and first copper in Q2 2029.
Also watch forThe study puts net added start-up cost at $20 million or more, or moves first copper past Q2 2029.