Ingram Micro Holding Corp (INGM)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INGM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 38 industry peers
INGM — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-30
Other Events. On June 15, 2026, an affiliate of Platinum Equity LLC ("Platinum Equity") completed a block trade of 5,167,069 shares of the Company's common stock at a price of $29.03 per share. The Company did not sell any shares in the transaction and did not receive any proceeds from the sale. Immediately following the completion of the transaction, Platinum Equity and its affiliated investment vehicles beneficially owned approximately 76.9% of the Company's common stock then outstanding. O…
Why it matters: Finishing the buyback shows a promise to return money to shareholders. This could help the stock price.
Supportive ifThey will announce the $30 million share buyback is complete.
Worry ifNo announcement of share buyback completion by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: A drop below this level may show pressure from sales of lower-margin products.
Worry ifQ3 2026 gross margin reported below 6.6%.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 gross margin reported above 6.7%.
Why it matters: If Ingram Micro's revenue growth falls below the median, it signals weakening demand. This could impact its market position.
Worry ifIngram Micro reports revenue growth below the sector median growth rate.
Less concerning ifIngram Micro maintains or exceeds the sector median revenue growth rate.
Why it matters: Higher dividends would show strong cash flow and a promise to return money to investors.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a dividend increase beyond the current $0.086 per share.
Worry ifNo increase in dividends or a cut in the dividend payout.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$136 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $365 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,893 loss on $10,000 · 18.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If net sales fall below this range, it may signal slowing demand and growth issues.
Worry ifQ3 2026 net sales reported below $13.55 billion.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 net sales reported above $13.95 billion.
Why it matters: If EPS misses, it may show problems with making money and managing costs.
Worry ifQ3 2026 non-GAAP EPS reported below $0.72.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 non-GAAP EPS reported above $0.82.
Why it matters: A buyback would show a promise to give money back to shareholders and trust in the stock.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a share repurchase program of at least $30 million.
Worry ifNo news of a share buyback after the secondary offering.