Ingram Micro Holding Corp (INGM)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$24.44-6.43%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · INGM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -20.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
INGM — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-29
Other Events. On October 29, 2026, the Company announced that its board of directors had declared a cash dividend on the Company’s common stock of $0.088 per share. The dividend is payable on November 23, 2026, to stockholders of record as of November 9, 2026.
Why it matters: Management raised its full-year view after record Q3 results. Q4 sales at or above the guidance floor would keep growth on track.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 net sales reach at least $17.5 billion, the low end of guidance.
Worry ifQ4 2026 net sales fall below $17.5 billion.
Why it matters: AI and GPU sales are growing fast, but they bring lower margins. Q4 profit per share tests whether growth still lifts earnings.
Worry ifQ4 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS is below $1.05, the low end of guidance.
Less concerning ifQ4 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS reaches at least $1.05.
Why it matters: Cash flow swung from large uses in Q1 and Q2 to a strong Q3. More positive cash flow would show the company can fund growth without a new cash drain.
Supportive ifAdjusted free cash flow stays above zero in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifAdjusted free cash flow falls below zero in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Q3 gross margin fell as more sales came from lower-margin AI and GPU products. A further drop may limit the profit from sales growth.
Worry ifQ4 gross margin is below Q3's 6.55%.
Less concerning ifQ4 gross margin is at least 6.55%, even as AI and GPU sales grow.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$149 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $400 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,893 loss on $10,000 · 18.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The board declared a cash dividend of $0.088 per share. Payment on the stated date would complete this announced capital return.
Supportive ifThe company pays $0.088 per share on November 23, 2026, as announced.
Worry ifThe company says the November 23 payment is late, lower, or canceled.
Why it matters: Management says its platform can help win sales and raise productivity. Growth above the last reported rate would add evidence that the platform is gaining use.
Supportive ifManagement says AI drove net sales growth above 60% year over year in its largest countries.
Worry ifManagement reports AI-led net sales growth at or below 60% year over year, or stops reporting growth.