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INTU

Intuit

NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-05-08

$396.31-2.57%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, INTU has a composite score of 27.4, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 74.6 and elevated market risk of 70.6. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, inflation, and labor. The current assessment is provisional.

Composite +27as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 20% of information technology cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.62
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
3720339534855
F2 · Value
cheap
Cheapest 30% of information technology cohort
Why this rank
Price
$396.31
TTM EPS
$15.76
Earnings yield
4.0%
P/E (TTM)
25.1

Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
4,340
TTM CFO ($M)
6,983
CFO/NI
1.61
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish strong27 analysts, 85% Buyfor period ending 2026-07-31
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $3.16 → $3.16 (-0.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 27 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 85% of analysts rate Buy.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Accelerate AI-driven innovationproductmixed67% progress
    2/26: CEO: 'We are defining a new category at the intersection of AI and human intelligence.'
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Intuit's focus on AI-driven innovation is part of its strategy to disrupt traditional segments and enhance customer experiences. While this is a new strategic direction, the financials show strong revenue growth, with total revenue increasing from $3.963 billion in 2025-Q2 to $4.651 billion in 2026-Q2, indicating a positive trajectory for supporting innovation initiatives.

  2. 2.Reiterate full-year guidance for fiscal 2026growthmixed65% progress
    2/26: CFO: 'We are reiterating our full year guidance for fiscal 2026.'
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Intuit reiterated its full-year guidance for fiscal 2026, expecting revenue growth of 12 to 13 percent. Revenue grew from $3.963 billion in 2025-Q2 to $4.651 billion in 2026-Q2, supporting the company's growth trajectory and confidence in meeting its guidance.

  3. 3.Accelerate share repurchasescapital allocationon track89% progress
    3/16: Company reiterated its intent to substantially accelerate repurchases under its share repurchase plan.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Intuit announced plans to accelerate share repurchases, with $961 million of stock repurchased in 2026-Q2. This aligns with the company's capital allocation strategy to utilize up to $3.5 billion for repurchases, indicating a proactive approach to returning value to shareholders.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
elevatedworst 12m loss −56%, typical day ±2.2%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 51%; 252d 37%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −56%. Bad day move −5%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLK) 0.01 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 38/100, drawdown 0/100, beta 1/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
tailwind+15.9%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLK

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite49.0 / 100
Capital allocation57
Earnings discipline59
Margin discipline26
Balance sheet36
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction50

Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 131.8% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Accelerate AI-driven innovation

    Product

    Intuit is focusing on defining a new category at the intersection of AI and human intelligence to deliver autonomous experiences.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Intuit's focus on AI-driven innovation is part of its strategy to disrupt traditional segments and enhance customer experiences. While this is a new strategic direction, the financials show strong revenue growth, with total revenue increasing from $3.963 billion in 2025-Q2 to $4.651 billion in 2026-Q2, indicating a positive trajectory for supporting innovation initiatives.

    67%
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'We are defining a new category at the intersection of AI and human intelligence.'
    Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-26
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q2Earnings call

      CEO: 'We are defining a new category at the intersection of AI and human intelligence.'

  • #2

    Reiterate full-year guidance for fiscal 2026

    Growth

    Intuit has reiterated its full-year guidance for fiscal 2026, expecting revenue growth of 12 to 13 percent.

    Mixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Intuit reiterated its full-year guidance for fiscal 2026, expecting revenue growth of 12 to 13 percent. Revenue grew from $3.963 billion in 2025-Q2 to $4.651 billion in 2026-Q2, supporting the company's growth trajectory and confidence in meeting its guidance.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:CFO: 'We are reiterating our full year guidance for fiscal 2026.'
    Earnings callSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-26
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q2Earnings call

      CFO: 'We are reiterating our full year guidance for fiscal 2026.'

    • 2026-Q1Earnings call

      CFO: 'We are reiterating our full year guidance for fiscal 2026.'

  • #3

    Accelerate share repurchases

    Capital allocation

    Intuit plans to substantially accelerate repurchases under its share repurchase plan, utilizing up to $3.5 billion.

    On track

    Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Intuit announced plans to accelerate share repurchases, with $961 million of stock repurchased in 2026-Q2. This aligns with the company's capital allocation strategy to utilize up to $3.5 billion for repurchases, indicating a proactive approach to returning value to shareholders.

    $961 million of stock repurchased in 2026-Q2
    89%
    CEO/CFO:Company reiterated its intent to substantially accelerate repurchases under its share repurchase plan.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-03-16Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-03-16
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q2Press release

      Company reiterated its intent to substantially accelerate repurchases under its share repurchase plan.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
66higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
97higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
21.6x
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield
6.0%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
INTU
Intuit
+27inexpensiveelevated
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
+20fullmoderate
AAPL
Apple Inc
+19fullmoderate
MSFT
Microsoft
+27fairelevated
AVGO
Broadcom
+11expensiveelevated
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
2.2%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-5.0%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-56.2%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
elevatedas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-02-26)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-02-26)-8.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
  • If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2810d agoItem 5.02

    DEPARTURE OF DIRECTORS OR CERTAIN OFFICERS; ELECTION OF DIRECTORS; APPOINTMENT OF CERTAIN OFFICERS; COMPENSATORY ARRANGEMENTS OF CERTAIN OFFICERS. On April 28, 2026, Intuit Inc. (the “Company”) announced that Marianna Tessel will step down from her role as Executive Vice President and General Manager, Small Business Group, effective May 31, 2026. At that time, Ashley Still, Executive Vice President and General Manager, Mid-Market Group, will expand her role to lead both the Mid-Market Group a…

    executive changeneutralscore 45
  2. 2026-03-161mo agoItem 7.01

    REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE. On March 16, 2026, Intuit Inc. (the “Company”) announced that its founder and its executive leadership team terminated all of their outstanding pre-scheduled stock sales plans established under Rule 10b5-1 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). The Company also reiterated its intent to substantially accelerate repurchases under its share repurchase plan to utilize up to $3.5 billion that remained under its board authorization at J…

    capital allocationpositivescore 15
  3. 2026-02-262mo agoItem 2.02

    and the exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly stated by specific reference in such filing.

    earnings preannouncementpositivescore 14
  4. 2026-02-262mo agoItem 8.01

    OTHER EVENTS. On February 26, 2026, the Company also announced that the Board approved a cash dividend of $1.20 per share. The cash dividend will be paid on April 17, 2026 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on April 9, 2026. Future declarations of dividends and the establishment of future record dates and payment dates are subject to the final determination of the Board. A copy of the press release announcing the cash dividend is furnished as Exhibit 99.01 to this Report.

    capital allocationneutralscore 10
  5. 2026-01-303mo agoItem 1.01

    ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT. Revolving Credit Facility On January 30, 2026, Intuit Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), entered into a Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”) with the lenders party thereto (collectively, the “Lenders”), and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent (the “Agent”), which provides for a $5.8 billion unsecured short-term revolving credit facility that is scheduled to mature on March 31, 2026. Amounts borrowed under the Credit Ag…

    capital allocationneutralscore 7
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-26 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.