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INVH

Invitation Homes

NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-05-08

$28.73-0.83%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, INVH has a mixed signal with a composite score of 3.3 and a medium confidence level of 64.2. The score is influenced by a macro score of 26.3 and a momentum score of -67.5, indicating challenges in the current environment. Key drivers include macro factors such as rates, growth, labor, and inflation. This analysis is provisional.

Composite +3.3as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 30% of real estate cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.13
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
56687884
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$28.73
TTM EPS
$0.83
Earnings yield
2.9%
P/E (TTM)
34.6

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
454
TTM CFO ($M)
1,082
CFO/NI
2.38
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
Insufficient data
No score yet
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearishEPS revised -18.3% / 30d, n=1for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.16 → $0.13 (-18.3% / 30d). 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 4 maintained. 44% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 13.1% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

No recent events recorded.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Share repurchase program of $500 millioncapital allocationmixed30% progress
    4/29: Our board of directors authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Invitation Homes repurchased 19,333,731 shares for approximately $500 million, fully utilizing the authorization. The trajectory shows delivering on the capital allocation priority.

  2. 2.Acquisition of ResiBuilt Homesgrowthbehind0% progress
    4/29: We acquired ResiBuilt Homes, LLC for a contract price of $89 million.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The acquisition of ResiBuilt Homes for $89 million is expected to be modestly accretive to 2026 AFFO per share. This strategic move aligns with growth priorities, showing progress in expanding build-to-rent capabilities.

  3. 3.Focus on new housing supply through acquisitionsgrowthbehind0% progress
    2/18: All 368 of our wholly owned acquisitions were newly-constructed homes purchased from various homebuilders.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Invitation Homes acquired 368 newly-constructed homes for $123 million in Q4 2025, highlighting a continued focus on supporting new housing supply. This aligns with their growth strategy, showing consistent execution.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −28%, typical day ±0.8%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 20%; 252d 21%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −28%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLRE) 1.03 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 66/100, drawdown 45/100, beta 97/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-3.1%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLRE

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite49.6 / 100Provisional · capped at 85
Capital allocation52
Earnings discipline46
Margin discipline
Balance sheet56
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction39
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Share repurchase program of $500 million

    Capital allocation

    Invitation Homes has authorized a $500 million share repurchase program to enhance shareholder value.

    Mixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Invitation Homes repurchased 19,333,731 shares for approximately $500 million, fully utilizing the authorization. The trajectory shows delivering on the capital allocation priority.

    30%
    CEO/CFO:Our board of directors authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-29
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      We acquired 17,101,046 shares of our common stock for approximately $439 million.

    • 2025-Q4Press release

      Our board of directors authorized a share repurchase program up to $500 million.

  • #2

    Acquisition of ResiBuilt Homes

    Growth

    Invitation Homes acquired ResiBuilt Homes to enhance its build-to-rent capabilities.

    Behind

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The acquisition of ResiBuilt Homes for $89 million is expected to be modestly accretive to 2026 AFFO per share. This strategic move aligns with growth priorities, showing progress in expanding build-to-rent capabilities.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:We acquired ResiBuilt Homes, LLC for a contract price of $89 million.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-29
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      We acquired ResiBuilt Homes, LLC, expected to be modestly accretive to our 2026 AFFO per share.

    • 2025-Q4Press release

      Acquired ResiBuilt for $89 million plus up to $7.5 million in potential earn-out payments.

  • #3

    Focus on new housing supply through acquisitions

    Growth

    Invitation Homes continues to focus on supporting new housing supply through acquisitions.

    Behind

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Invitation Homes acquired 368 newly-constructed homes for $123 million in Q4 2025, highlighting a continued focus on supporting new housing supply. This aligns with their growth strategy, showing consistent execution.

    Acquired 368 newly-constructed homes for $123 million
    0%
    CEO/CFO:All 368 of our wholly owned acquisitions were newly-constructed homes purchased from various homebuilders.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-18Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-18
    Show history (2)
    • 2025-Q4Press release

      All 368 of our wholly owned acquisitions were newly-constructed homes.

    • 2025-Q3Press release

      Almost all of our 2,410 wholly owned acquisitions were bought through our homebuilder relationships.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
66higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
61higher = cheaper

Around its own typical valuation.

P/E
44.3x
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield
5.1%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
INVH
Invitation Homes
+3.3fairmoderate
WELL
Welltower
+7.9expensivelow
PLD
Prologis
+10fulllow
EQIX
Equinix
+22fairmoderate
AMT
American Tower
+18fairmoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.8%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.1%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-27.7%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If real_estate sector trend rises from +0.00 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2022-03-07)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-8.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2022-03-07)-8.0 pts
  • If real_estate sector trend falls from +0.00 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2910d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 29, 2026, Invitation Homes Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the results of the Company’s operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished pursuant to

    earnings preannouncementnegativescore 63
  2. 2026-05-081d agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Invitation Homes Inc. 2026 Omnibus Incentive Plan As described in

    executive changeneutralscore 55
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-19 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.