International Paper (IP)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-07-08
$36.68-3.27%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Track IP free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (4q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
International Paper's growth depends on optimizing its packaging network and managing costs. Recent earnings showed revenue growth of 13% year over year, with the last quarter inline. It trades at 0.8× price-to-sales, while the peer median is 2.1×. This suggests the price reflects modest growth expectations. A specific risk is that if IP cuts guidance, the stock may drop. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-08. IP is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering IP (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for IP in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $36.68. As of 2026-07-09. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Focus on cost and cash flow management
Closing plants improves cost and cash flow management.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-08. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $36.68
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $36.68.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Focus on cost and cash flow management
Cost management improves through facility closures.
Threatens: Focus on cost and cash flow management
Shutdowns and layoffs impact cost and cash flow management.
Advances: Focus on cost and cash flow management
Optimizing packaging network enhances cost and cash flow management.
Advances: Separation of EMEA packaging business
Leadership change supports separation of EMEA packaging business.
Advances: Separation of EMEA packaging business
Strengthens regional presence aligns with EMEA separation objective.
Advances: Separation of EMEA packaging business
Acquisition supports growth in packaging business.
Advances: Improve reliability and performance
Upgrade reflects confidence in new CEO's strategy.