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JBHT

J.B. Hunt

NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-05-08

$245.40+1.33%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, JBHT has a composite score of 14.1, categorized as "mild favorable." This score reflects a medium confidence level of 76.8 and is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as growth, labor, rates, and inflation. The current analysis is provisional, indicating that the situation may change as new information becomes available.

Composite +14as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.03
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
194197243197
F2 · Value
expensive
Most expensive 20% of industrials cohort
Why this rank
Price
$245.40
TTM EPS
$5.78
Earnings yield
2.4%
P/E (TTM)
42.5

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 10% cash conversion in industrials cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
571
TTM CFO ($M)
1,483
CFO/NI
2.60
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
stable
Top 30% activity in industrials cohort· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral9 PT revisions / 30d, avg 1.5% above currentfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.68 → $1.70 (+1.1% / 30d). 11 raised, 8 cut, 21 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 11 maintained. 54% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

9 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 1.5% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Leverage investments in People, Technology, and Capacitygrowthmixed65% progress
    4/15: CEO: 'We continue to leverage our investments in our People, Technology, and Capacity, positioning the company to drive long-term value.'
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company reported a 5% increase in revenue to $3.06 billion and a 16% increase in operating income to $207.0 million in 2026-Q1, indicating initial positive impact from leveraging investments. However, as this is a newly stated priority, long-term delivery remains to be seen.

  2. 2.Execute on initiative to lower cost to servecostbehind0% progress
    4/15: CEO: 'Execution on our initiative to eliminate structural cost and improved productivity across the organization.'
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income increased by 16% to $207.0 million in 2026-Q1, suggesting some progress in cost reduction efforts. However, as this is a newly stated priority, further evidence of sustained cost reduction is needed for a comprehensive assessment.

  3. 3.Improve network efficiency in Intermodal segmentproductwatchprovisional
    4/15: CEO: 'Improved network efficiency related to strong volume growth, productivity improvements in our drayage network.'
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Intermodal segment revenue increased by 2% to $1.50 billion, and operating income rose by 21% to $114.5 million in 2026-Q1, indicating initial success in improving network efficiency. Continued focus on this priority could further enhance segment performance.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −16%, typical day ±1.2%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 34%; 252d 37%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −16%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLI) 1.12 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 38/100, drawdown 68/100, beta 88/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-7.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLI

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite50.3 / 100
Capital allocation41
Earnings discipline54
Margin discipline68
Balance sheet51
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction47
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Leverage investments in People, Technology, and Capacity

    Growth

    Focus on leveraging investments in people, technology, and capacity to drive long-term value.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company reported a 5% increase in revenue to $3.06 billion and a 16% increase in operating income to $207.0 million in 2026-Q1, indicating initial positive impact from leveraging investments. However, as this is a newly stated priority, long-term delivery remains to be seen.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'We continue to leverage our investments in our People, Technology, and Capacity, positioning the company to drive long-term value.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      We continue to leverage our investments in our People, Technology, and Capacity.

  • #2

    Execute on initiative to lower cost to serve

    Cost

    Continue executing on the initiative to lower the cost to serve across segments.

    Behind

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Operating income increased by 16% to $207.0 million in 2026-Q1, suggesting some progress in cost reduction efforts. However, as this is a newly stated priority, further evidence of sustained cost reduction is needed for a comprehensive assessment.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'Execution on our initiative to eliminate structural cost and improved productivity across the organization.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      Execution on our initiative to eliminate structural cost and improved productivity.

  • #3

    Improve network efficiency in Intermodal segment

    Product

    Focus on improving network efficiency in the Intermodal segment to drive growth.

    Watch

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Intermodal segment revenue increased by 2% to $1.50 billion, and operating income rose by 21% to $114.5 million in 2026-Q1, indicating initial success in improving network efficiency. Continued focus on this priority could further enhance segment performance.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:CEO: 'Improved network efficiency related to strong volume growth, productivity improvements in our drayage network.'
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      Improved network efficiency related to strong volume growth.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
17higher = cheaper

Looks more expensive than peers.

Compared to its own history
28higher = cheaper

Richer than its own typical valuation.

P/E
37.5x
EV/EBITDA
15.6x
FCF yield
4.4%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fullas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
JBHT
J.B. Hunt
+14fullmoderate
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
+13expensivemoderate
GE
GE Aerospace
+11expensivemoderate
GEV
GE Vernova
+10fullmoderate
RTX
RTX Corporation
+20fairmoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.2%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.9%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-15.9%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-15)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-15)-8.0 pts
  • If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-1523d agoItem 2.02

    RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On April 15,2026, we issued a news release announcing our revenues and earnings for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the news release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 39
  2. 2026-01-153mo agoItem 2.02

    RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION. On January 15, 2026, we issued a news release announcing our revenues and earnings for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the news release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 5
  3. 2025-12-025mo agoItem 1.01

    ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT See the information set forth in

    mna activitypositivescore 2
  4. 2025-12-025mo agoItem 1.02

    TERMINATION OF A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT See the information set forth in

    mna activitynegativescore 1
  5. 2025-12-025mo agoItem 2.03

    CREATION OF A DIRECT FINANCIAL OBLIGATION On November 25, 2025, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. and its principal operating subsidiary, J.B. Hunt Transport, Inc. (collectively, “we” or the “Company”), entered into a $1.7 billion Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated November 25, 2025, by and among J.B. Hunt Transport, Inc., as borrower, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., as parent guarantor, the lenders named therein, and Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent. This…

    capital allocationnegativescore 1
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-24 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.