JBL
JabilNYSEInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, JBL has a composite score of 24.3 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The valuation label has changed from "full" to "fair," indicating a shift in perceived value. Key drivers of the score include macroeconomic factors such as rates and growth, with a high confidence level of 87.2%.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.04
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $3.10 → $3.10 (+0.0% / 30d). 7 raised, 0 cut, 9 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 80% of analysts rate Buy.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase revenue guidance for fiscal 2026growthwatch47% progress
3/18: “We are raising our fiscal 2026 outlook for revenue and core EPS.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue guidance increased from $32.4 billion in 2025-Q4 to $34 billion in 2026-Q2. Revenue for 2026-Q2 was $8.28 billion, showing limited progress towards the annual target.
- 2.Achieve $1.3 billion in free cash flow for FY 2026capital allocationmixed65% progressprovisional
12/17: “Adjusted free cash flow (Non-GAAP) $1.3+ billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Cash from operating activities was $411 million in 2026-Q2, contributing to the $1.3 billion free cash flow target for FY 2026. Progress is ongoing but requires further improvement to meet the annual goal.
- 3.Increase EPS guidance for fiscal 2026growthwatch47% progress
3/18: “Core diluted earnings per share (Non-GAAP) $12.25 per diluted share.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance increased from $11.00 in 2025-Q3 to $12.25 in 2026-Q2. Diluted EPS for 2026-Q2 was $2.08, indicating progress towards the annual target but requiring continued improvement.
Guidance track record
Last 8 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-30 | $2.00 – $2.40 | $2.60 | beat |
| 2024-02-29 | $0.47 – $1.07 | $1.68 | beat |
| 2024-05-31 | $0.82 – $1.38 | $1.89 | beat |
| 2024-08-31 | $2.03 – $2.43 | $2.30 | inside |
| 2024-11-30 | $2.40 – $2.80 | $2.00 | miss |
| 2025-05-31 | $1.50 – $1.99 | $2.55 | beat |
| 2025-08-31 | $2.64 – $3.04 | $3.29 | beat |
| 2026-02-28 | $1.70 – $2.19 | $2.69 | beat |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 50%; 252d 40%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −18%. Bad day move −5%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — 0.10 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 33/100, drawdown 64/100, beta 10/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- label change · valuation_labelseverity 20
Valuation label changed from 'full' to 'fair'.
As of 2026-05-08, the valuation label for JBL changed from 'full' to 'fair'. This is a label change indicating a downward adjustment in valuation perception. Additionally, the forward view includes several unfavorable scenarios, such as a potential guidance cut and reversals in macro conditions, which could impact estimates negatively.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 8 guided quarters · 48.5% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase revenue guidance for fiscal 2026
GrowthManagement has raised the revenue outlook for fiscal 2026 to $34 billion.
WatchStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue guidance increased from $32.4 billion in 2025-Q4 to $34 billion in 2026-Q2. Revenue for 2026-Q2 was $8.28 billion, showing limited progress towards the annual target.
Revenue guidance increased from $32.4 billion to $34 billion47%CEO/CFO:“We are raising our fiscal 2026 outlook for revenue and core EPS.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-03-18Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-03-18Show history (2)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“We are raising our fiscal 2026 outlook for revenue and core EPS.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook: Net revenue $32.4 billion.”
- #2
Achieve $1.3 billion in free cash flow for FY 2026
Capital allocationManagement aims to achieve adjusted free cash flow greater than $1.3 billion for fiscal year 2026.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Cash from operating activities was $411 million in 2026-Q2, contributing to the $1.3 billion free cash flow target for FY 2026. Progress is ongoing but requires further improvement to meet the annual goal.
65%CEO/CFO:“Adjusted free cash flow (Non-GAAP) $1.3+ billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-12-17Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2025-12-17provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Adjusted free cash flow (Non-GAAP) $1.3+ billion.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Adjusted free cash flow greater than $1.3 billion.”
- #3
Increase EPS guidance for fiscal 2026
GrowthManagement has raised the EPS outlook for fiscal 2026 to $12.25 per share.
WatchStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance increased from $11.00 in 2025-Q3 to $12.25 in 2026-Q2. Diluted EPS for 2026-Q2 was $2.08, indicating progress towards the annual target but requiring continued improvement.
EPS guidance increased from $11.00 to $12.25 per share47%CEO/CFO:“Core diluted earnings per share (Non-GAAP) $12.25 per diluted share.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-03-18Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-03-18Show history (3)
- 2026-Q2Multiple sources
“Core diluted earnings per share (Non-GAAP) $12.25 per diluted share.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Core diluted earnings per share (Non-GAAP) $11.55 per diluted share.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Core diluted EPS of $11.00.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
JBL Jabil | +24 | fair | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-03-18)-16 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-3.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-03-181mo agoItem 2.02
of this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. The information in this Current Report shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date of this Current Report, regardless of any general incor…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 20 - 2025-06-2010mo agoItem 2.05
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. The Company expects the total amount of pre-tax restructuring and other related costs to be approximately $200 million, including the following estimated items: • $60 million to $70 million of employee severance and benefit costs; • $65 million to $70 million of asset write-off costs; and • $55 million to $65 million of contract termination costs and other related costs. The Company continues to expect to incur these costs over the course of…
product or strategy shiftneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.