KIM
Kimco RealtyNYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, KIM has a composite score of 12.1 and is labeled as "mild favorable." The score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 76.9 and reflects strengths in macro factors (26.3) and management (54.7), while the sector score is lower at 16.1. The analysis is provisional and considers various scenarios that could impact the composite score, including potential guidance changes and sector trends.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.06
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2018-Q1, 2018-Q2, 2018-Q3, 2019-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.20 → $0.20 (+0.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 40% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 6.2% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase FFO per diluted sharegrowthbehind0% progress
4/30: “The company has updated its 2026 outlook for FFO per diluted share to $1.81 to $1.84.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. FFO per diluted share guidance increased from $1.71-$1.74 in 2025-Q2 to $1.81-$1.84 in 2026-Q1, indicating a focus on growth. The trajectory shows consistent upward revisions, suggesting progress in achieving this priority.
- 2.Maintain dividend per sharecapital allocationwatchprovisional
10/30: “Dividend per share remained at $0.25 in 2025-Q3 and 2025-Q2.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Dividend per share remained stable at $0.25 in both 2025-Q2 and 2025-Q3, reflecting a commitment to consistent capital returns to shareholders. The trajectory is stable, with no changes in the dividend amount.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 14%; 252d 18%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −13%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLRE) — 0.97 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 69/100, drawdown 75/100, beta 97/100, earnings vol —.
via XLRE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 1010.0% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase FFO per diluted share
GrowthFocus on raising Funds From Operations (FFO) per diluted share through strategic initiatives.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. FFO per diluted share guidance increased from $1.71-$1.74 in 2025-Q2 to $1.81-$1.84 in 2026-Q1, indicating a focus on growth. The trajectory shows consistent upward revisions, suggesting progress in achieving this priority.
0%CEO/CFO:“The company has updated its 2026 outlook for FFO per diluted share to $1.81 to $1.84.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-30Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-30Show history (4)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“The company has updated its 2026 outlook for FFO per diluted share to $1.81 to $1.84.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“The company has raised its 2025 outlook for FFO per diluted share to $1.75 to $1.76.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“The company has raised its 2025 outlook for FFO per diluted share to $1.73 to $1.75.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“The company is raising 2025 guidance for FFO per diluted share to $1.71 to $1.74.”
- #2
Maintain dividend per share
Capital allocationCommitment to maintaining a stable dividend per share for shareholders.
WatchStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Dividend per share remained stable at $0.25 in both 2025-Q2 and 2025-Q3, reflecting a commitment to consistent capital returns to shareholders. The trajectory is stable, with no changes in the dividend amount.
Dividend per share remained at $0.25 in 2025-Q3 and 2025-Q2No scoreCEO/CFO:“Dividend per share remained at $0.25 in 2025-Q3 and 2025-Q2.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-10-30Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2025-10-30provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Dividend per share remained at $0.25.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“Dividend per share remained at $0.25.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KIM Kimco Realty | +12 | full | low |
WELL Welltower | +7.9 | expensive | low |
PLD Prologis | +10 | full | low |
EQIX Equinix | +22 | fair | moderate |
AMT American Tower | +18 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If real_estate sector trend rises from +0.00 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)+4.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-8.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-30)-8.0 pts
- If real_estate sector trend falls from +0.00 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-309d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, Kimco Realty Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in this
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.