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KMB

Kimberly-Clark

NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-05-08

$98.31-1.26%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, KMB has a composite score of 16.9 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.6 and a moderate risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as labor, inflation, rates, and growth, with recent guidance changes and sector trends also impacting the analysis. The data is provisional.

Composite +17as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.09
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
853592621634
F2 · Value
cheap
Cheapest 20% of consumer staples cohort
Why this rank
Price
$98.31
TTM EPS
$7.47
Earnings yield
7.6%
P/E (TTM)
13.2

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
fragile
Bottom 30% cash conversion in consumer staples cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
2,545
TTM CFO ($M)
3,234
CFO/NI
1.27
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
capital friendlyTop 10% capital-friendly in consumer staples cohort
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearishEPS revised -3.3% / 30d, n=12for period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $2.09 → $2.02 (-3.3% / 30d). 0 raised, 10 cut, 12 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 40% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 5.4% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Grow organic salesgrowthbehind0% progress
    4/28: Kimberly-Clark expects 2026 Organic Sales Growth to grow in line to ahead of the weighted average growth in the categories and countries it competes.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Organic sales growth was 2.5% in 2026-Q1, aligning with management's goal to grow in line with or ahead of market averages. The trajectory shows limited progress, as growth remains modest.

  2. 2.Increase adjusted EPSgrowthbehind0% progress
    4/28: Adjusted Earnings Per Share from Continuing Operations are expected to grow at a double-digit rate on a constant-currency basis.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EPS from continuing operations were $1.60 in 2026-Q1, down 1.2% from the prior year, indicating limited progress towards the double-digit growth target.

  3. 3.Enhance operating profitgrowthbehind0% progress
    4/28: Adjusted Operating Profit is expected to grow at a mid-to-high single-digit rate on a constant-currency basis.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted operating profit was $732 million in 2026-Q1, up 3.7% from the prior year, showing some progress towards the mid-to-high single-digit growth target, but not yet fully delivering.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −32%, typical day ±1.0%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 27%; 252d 26%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −32%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLP) 1.08 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 57/100, drawdown 35/100, beta 92/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-11.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLP

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite64.0 / 100
Capital allocation78
Earnings discipline58
Margin discipline45
Balance sheet70
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction41
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Grow organic sales

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Focus on increasing organic sales growth in line with or ahead of market averages.

    Behind

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Organic sales growth was 2.5% in 2026-Q1, aligning with management's goal to grow in line with or ahead of market averages. The trajectory shows limited progress, as growth remains modest.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:Kimberly-Clark expects 2026 Organic Sales Growth to grow in line to ahead of the weighted average growth in the categories and countries it competes.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      Organic sales growth of 2.5 percent and favorable currency impacts of 2.0 percent.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      2025 Organic Sales Growth is expected to be broadly in line with the weighted average growth.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      2025 Organic Sales Growth is expected to be broadly in line with the weighted average growth.

  • #2

    Increase adjusted EPS

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Aim for double-digit growth in adjusted EPS on a constant-currency basis.

    Behind

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted EPS from continuing operations were $1.60 in 2026-Q1, down 1.2% from the prior year, indicating limited progress towards the double-digit growth target.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:Adjusted Earnings Per Share from Continuing Operations are expected to grow at a double-digit rate on a constant-currency basis.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      Adjusted EPS from continuing operations were $1.60, down 1.2 percent versus the prior year.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      Adjusted Earnings per Share Attributable to Kimberly-Clark are expected to grow at a low-to-mid single digit rate.

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      Adjusted Earnings per Share Attributable to Kimberly-Clark are expected to grow at a low-to-mid single digit rate.

  • #3

    Enhance operating profit

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Target mid-to-high single-digit growth in adjusted operating profit.

    Behind

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted operating profit was $732 million in 2026-Q1, up 3.7% from the prior year, showing some progress towards the mid-to-high single-digit growth target, but not yet fully delivering.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:Adjusted Operating Profit is expected to grow at a mid-to-high single-digit rate on a constant-currency basis.
    Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Press release

      Adjusted operating profit was $732 million, up 3.7 percent versus the prior year.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      Adjusted Operating Profit is expected to grow at a mid-to-high single-digit rate.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
80higher = cheaper

Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.

Compared to its own history
82higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
13.2x
EV/EBITDA
7.9x
FCF yield
5.4%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
KMB
Kimberly-Clark
+17inexpensivemoderate
WMT
Walmart
-9.3expensivelow
COST
Costco
+3.9expensivemoderate
PG
Procter & Gamble
+15fairlow
KO
Coca-Cola Company (The)
+14fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.0%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.1%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-32.4%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
  • If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-053d agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 1, 2026, Andrew Scribner, the Corporation’s Vice President and Controller, notified the Corporation that he will depart the Corporation effective May 22, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. The Corporation’s Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Nelson Urdaneta, will act as the Corporation’s principal accounting officer effectiv…

    executive changeneutralscore 75
  2. 2026-04-2810d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Attached and incorporated herein by reference as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (the "Corporation"), dated April 28, 2026 reporting the Corporation’s results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The information, including exhibits attached hereto, in

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 52
  3. 2026-01-273mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Attached and incorporated herein by reference as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (the "Corporation"), dated January 27, 2026 reporting the Corporation’s results of operations for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The information, including exhibits attached hereto, in

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 6
  4. 2026-01-163mo agoItem 8.01

    Other Events. As previously disclosed, on November 2, 2025, Kimberly-Clark Corporation, a Delaware corporation (NASDAQ: KMB) (“ K-C ”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “ Merger Agreement ”) with Kenvue Inc., a Delaware corporation (“ Kenvue ”), Vesta Sub I, Inc., a Delaware corporation and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of K-C (“ First Merger Sub ”), and Vesta Sub II, LLC, a Delaware limited liability company and a direct wholly owned subsidiary of K-C (“ Second Merger Sub…

    product or strategy shiftneutralscore 4
  5. 2025-12-045mo agoItem 8.01

    Other Events. Kimberly-Clark Corporation (the "Corporation") is filing this Current Report on Form 8-K ("Form 8-K") to recast certain financial information and related disclosures included in the Corporation's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, originally filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") on February 13, 2025 ("2024 Form 10-K"). International Family Care and Professional ("IFP") Transaction As previously disclosed, on June 5, 2025,…

    mna activitypositivescore 1
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-12 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.