KO
Coca-Cola Company (The)NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, KO has a composite score of 13.7 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 76.3 and a low risk label. The top drivers affecting the score include macroeconomic factors such as labor, inflation, rates, and growth. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.92
- Slope (norm)-0.29
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.94 → $0.93 (-1.0% / 30d). 0 raised, 14 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 5 maintained. 79% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 7.8% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
3 material events in the last 24 months — top 3 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Drive organic revenue growth of 4% to 5%growthbehind14% progress
4/28: “The company expects to deliver organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth of 4% to 5%.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net revenues grew 12% to $12.5 billion in 2026-Q1, indicating strong progress towards the 4% to 5% organic revenue growth target. The trajectory is delivering on management's stated priority.
- 2.Generate free cash flow of approximately $12.2 billioncapital allocationmixed44% progress
4/28: “The company expects to generate free cash flow (non-GAAP) of approximately $12.2 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Cash flow from operations was $2.0 billion in 2026-Q1, contributing towards the $12.2 billion free cash flow target. The trajectory shows progress, but further quarters will determine full-year delivery.
- 3.Deliver comparable EPS growth of 8% to 9%growthbehind14% progress
4/28: “The company expects to deliver comparable EPS (non-GAAP) growth of 8% to 9% versus $3.00 in 2025.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS grew 18% to $0.91 in 2026-Q1, indicating strong progress towards the 8% to 9% comparable EPS growth target. The trajectory is delivering on management's stated priority.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 19%; 252d 16%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −8%. Bad day move −1%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 0.83 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 73/100, drawdown 84/100, beta 83/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Drive organic revenue growth of 4% to 5%
GrowthFocus on achieving organic revenue growth of 4% to 5% for the fiscal year 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net revenues grew 12% to $12.5 billion in 2026-Q1, indicating strong progress towards the 4% to 5% organic revenue growth target. The trajectory is delivering on management's stated priority.
14%CEO/CFO:“The company expects to deliver organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth of 4% to 5%.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“The company expects to deliver organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth of 4% to 5%.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“The company expects to deliver organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth of 4% to 5%.”
- #2
Generate free cash flow of approximately $12.2 billion
Capital allocationAim to generate free cash flow of approximately $12.2 billion for the fiscal year 2026.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Cash flow from operations was $2.0 billion in 2026-Q1, contributing towards the $12.2 billion free cash flow target. The trajectory shows progress, but further quarters will determine full-year delivery.
44%CEO/CFO:“The company expects to generate free cash flow (non-GAAP) of approximately $12.2 billion.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“The company expects to generate free cash flow (non-GAAP) of approximately $12.2 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“The company expects to generate free cash flow (non-GAAP) of approximately $12.2 billion.”
- #3
Deliver comparable EPS growth of 8% to 9%
GrowthTarget comparable EPS growth of 8% to 9% for the fiscal year 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS grew 18% to $0.91 in 2026-Q1, indicating strong progress towards the 8% to 9% comparable EPS growth target. The trajectory is delivering on management's stated priority.
14%CEO/CFO:“The company expects to deliver comparable EPS (non-GAAP) growth of 8% to 9% versus $3.00 in 2025.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-04-28Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-28Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Press release
“The company expects to deliver comparable EPS (non-GAAP) growth of 8% to 9% versus $3.00 in 2025.”
- 2025-Q4Press release
“The company expects to deliver comparable EPS (non-GAAP) growth of 8% to 9% versus $3.00 in 2025.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
PM Philip Morris International | +5.0 | full | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-28)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2810d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Attached as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of a press release of The Coca-Cola Company (“company”), dated April 28, 2026, reporting the Company’s financial results for the first quarter 2026. The information in this Item 2.02, including the Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securit…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 57 - 2026-02-202mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously announced on December 10, 2025, Henrique Braun, currently Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of The Coca-Cola Company (the “Company”), will become Chief Executive Officer of the Company effective as of March 31, 2026. In addition, James Quincey, the Company’s current Chairman of the Board of Directors (the “Board”) a…
executive changeneutralscore 13 - 2026-02-102mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Attached as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of a press release of The Coca-Cola Company (“company”), dated February 10, 2026, reporting the Company’s financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. The information in this Item 2.02, including the Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9 - 2026-01-143mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 14, 2026, The Coca-Cola Company (the “Company”) announced a series of leadership changes. As part of these changes, the Company announced the creation of a new Chief Digital Officer. Effective March 31, 2026, the responsibilities associated with this role, which are currently overseen by John Murphy in his capacity as President and Chief…
executive changeneutralscore 6 - 2025-12-104mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 10, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of The Coca-Cola Company (the “Company”) elected Henrique Braun, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, as Chief Executive Officer of the Company, effective March 31, 2026, on which date James Quincey, the Company’s current Chief Executive Officer, will transition to Executiv…
executive changeneutralscore 3
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.