Kopin Corp. (KOPN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$2.75-17.91%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KOPN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 32.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 50 industry peers
KOPN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-10
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . Kopin Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release on August 10, 2026, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference, in which the Company announced financial results for the second quarter ended June 27, 2026. The information in this Item 2.02 (including Exhibit 99.1) shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as…
Why it matters: A working demo would move Neural I/o beyond development plans. It could help show whether the project can reach customers.
Supportive ifAt CES in January 2027, Kopin shows a working Neural I/o platform. It has a 1.6-terabit-per-second transceiver.
Worry ifThe CES demo does not happen, or Kopin shows no working transceiver rated at 1.6 terabits per second.
Why it matters: Management tied sustainable GAAP profit to Q4. A profit would show that revenue gains can cover costs.
Supportive ifIn Q4 2026, Kopin reports GAAP operating income above $0. It says the profit can last.
Worry ifQ4 2026 GAAP operating income is below $0, or management says the profit may not last.
Why it matters: U.S. production is a key step in the Army program. Meeting the date would show that the new bonding work is advancing toward production.
Supportive ifKopin starts making MicroLED products in the U.S. by mid-2027.
Worry ifKopin says it will start making MicroLED products in the U.S. after mid-2027.
Why it matters: Total revenue rose in Q2, but product revenue was nearly flat year over year. A recovery would show stronger sales of shipped products.
Watch forQ3 product revenue is above $9.2 million, Q1 2025's level, and grows year over year.
Also watch forQ3 product revenue is below its level from a year ago. This shows product sales have not recovered.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$386 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $982 loss on $10,000 · 9.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,696 loss on $10,000 · 57.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.