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KR

Kroger

NYSEConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-05-08

$65.64-1.16%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, KR has a composite score of 13.5 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by various factors, including a medium confidence level of 78.8 and a moderate risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic conditions related to labor, inflation, rates, and growth. The analysis is provisional.

Composite +14as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 10% of consumer staples cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    0.38
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.21
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
1322863-15411246
F2 · Value
expensive
Most expensive 10% of consumer staples cohort
Why this rank
Price
$65.64
TTM EPS
$1.02
Earnings yield
1.6%
P/E (TTM)
64.4

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 10% cash conversion in consumer staples cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,016
TTM CFO ($M)
7,311
CFO/NI
7.20
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
capital unfriendlyBottom 20% — net capital-unfriendly direction
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral18 analysts, 46% Buyfor period ending 2026-07-31
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.13 → $1.13 (+0.1% / 30d). 8 raised, 4 cut, 18 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 46% of analysts rate Buy.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −19%, typical day ±1.2%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 24%; 252d 27%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −19%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLP) 0.85 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 55/100, drawdown 61/100, beta 85/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-11.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLP

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite52.8 / 100
Capital allocation37
Earnings discipline91
Margin discipline37
Balance sheet48
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction58
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
77higher = cheaper

Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.

Compared to its own history
93higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
13.7x
EV/EBITDA
11.8x
FCF yield
8.1%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
KR
Kroger
+14inexpensivemoderate
WMT
Walmart
-9.3expensivelow
COST
Costco
+3.9expensivemoderate
PG
Procter & Gamble
+15fairlow
KO
Coca-Cola Company (The)
+14fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.2%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.6%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-19.4%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-03-05)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-03-05)-8.0 pts
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
  • If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-03-052mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 5, 2026, The Kroger Co. (NYSE:KR) issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. Attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, and furnished herewith, is a copy of that release.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 15
  2. 2026-02-092mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 8, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of The Kroger Co. (the “Company”) appointed Gregory S. Foran, 64, Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”), effective as of February 10, 2026. Mr. Foran was also appointed as a member of the Board, effective as of February 10, 2026. Mr. Foran previously served as the Chief Executive Officer of Air Ne…

    executive changeneutralscore 10
  3. 2025-12-045mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On December 4, 2025, The Kroger Co. (NYSE:KR) issued a press release announcing its third quarter 2025 results. Attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, and furnished herewith, is a copy of that release.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 2
  4. 2025-12-055mo agoItem 2.06

    Material Impairments. On December 4, 2025, the Company determined the impairment and related charges as a result of the closure of certain fulfillment centers in the United States includes a cash payment to Ocado of approximately $350 million. 2 SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. The Kroger Co. December 5, 2025 By: /s/ George H. Vincent…

    product or strategy shiftnegativescore 2
  5. 2025-11-185mo agoItem 2.06

    Material Impairments. On November 18, 2025, The Kroger Co. (“Kroger” or the “Company”) announced updates to its eCommerce plan. In connection with the foregoing, the Company will close certain fulfillment centers in the United States. The Company expects to incur impairment and related charges in the third fiscal quarter of 2025 of approximately $2.6 billion as a result of these closures and the rest of the automated fulfillment network not meeting financial expectations.

    product or strategy shiftnegativescore 1
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-03-31 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.