Liberty Live Holdings Inc (LLYVA)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$95.63-2.13%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LLYVA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 179 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 179 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LLYVA — officer change
Dated 2026-09-02
Chief Legal Officer — Philip J. Boeckman: The filing announces the external hire of a new Chief Legal Officer and the transition of the incumbent to a Senior Advisor role, representing an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of executive leadership.
Why it matters: If the Communication Services sector grows, it may show a recovery. This could help Liberty Live.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: Exchanging debentures can strengthen finances. It can also lower debt costs.
Supportive ifA formal announcement will explain the terms. It will also confirm the debenture exchange is done.
Worry ifNo progress on the debenture exchange by the end of the quarter.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth could signal a change in the growth phase of the sector.
Worry ifReported revenue growth falls below the median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: A successful exchange can make the balance sheet stronger. This can improve financial flexibility.
Supportive ifThe exchange must be completed with at least 75% of debenture holders taking part.
Worry ifLess than 50% participation in the exchange by the deadline.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$134 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $295 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,208 loss on $10,000 · 12.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A share buyback announcement shows that management believes in the company's value. It may help the stock price.
Supportive ifA public announcement that confirms the share buyback program with clear details.
Worry ifNo announcement of the share buyback program by the end of Q3.