Lululemon Athletica (LULU)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$100.61-17.38%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
Put LULU beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Achieve 2% to 4% revenue growth in 2026: Q2 FY26 rev -4.0% vs 2% target.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 53% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLululemon's growth has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue guidance was cut to $10.35–$10.5 billion, indicating a 5-7% decline. The stock trades at 8.1× P/E versus a 15.1× peer median, suggesting expectations look modest versus our view. The primary risk is the ongoing operational challenges, as management cited weak traffic and negative brand sentiment. Peer multiples imply a price about 49% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch due to pressure on revenue growth targets.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. LULU is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 34 analysts currently covering LULU (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LULU in the last 4 months.
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Compare LULU with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LULU Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put LULU next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Navigate challenging market dynamics and adjust outlook prudently
Earnings beat masks underlying issues affecting growth outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $100.61
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $100.61.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
CEO transition may disrupt strategic execution and growth plans.
Threatens: Expand company-operated store footprint
Store cuts may hinder expansion plans.
Analysts cutting targets indicates potential growth challenges.
Threatens: Navigate challenging market dynamics and adjust outlook prudently
Third guidance cut indicates ongoing market challenges.
Threatens: Navigate challenging market dynamics and adjust outlook prudently
Weaker results and outlook impact growth objectives.
Threatens: Navigate challenging market dynamics and adjust outlook prudently
Lululemon cutting guidance indicates market challenges.
Threatens: Navigate challenging market dynamics and adjust outlook prudently
Full-year outlook cut reflects ongoing market challenges.
