Live Nation Entertainment (LYV)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$173.50-2.25%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
Research Workspace
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Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Communication Services is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Revenue growth around 12% in 2026: Q2 FY26 rev +9.0% vs 10% target.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 11% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskLive Nation is positioned to grow by expanding into the Black consumer market. The company aims to leverage audience data and content for revenue growth. Revenue grew 9% year over year in Q2 FY26, beating expectations. Live Nation trades at 1.6 times price-to-sales, slightly above the peer median of 1.5 times. The price reflects modest growth expectations compared to our view. A risk is the potential for a guidance cut, with a 31% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 6% above where it trades. This read is provisional; the thesis is on watch.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. LYV is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering LYV (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LYV in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYV Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Movies & Entertainment — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put LYV next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Capital expenditures of $1.1 to $1.2 billion for 2026
Repair costs may impact capital expenditures and growth plans.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $173.50
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $173.50.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Legal issues could impact Live Nation's operations and reputation.
Advances: Venue Nation fan growth by double-digits
New venue supports Venue Nation fan growth objective.
Advances: Venue Nation fan growth by double-digits
Fan growth significantly exceeds expectations, supporting Venue Nation objective.
Advances: Double-digit adjusted operating income growth
Record attendance supports double-digit income growth objective.
Antitrust trial could impact operational strategies and growth.
Advances: Venue Nation fan growth by double-digits
Concert attendance indicates double-digit fan growth.
Advances: Revenue growth target for 2026
Beating revenue confirms growth trajectory for 2026.