LYV
Live Nation EntertainmentNYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, LYV has a mixed analyst scoring with a composite score of -1.2 and a medium confidence level of 76.3. The score is influenced by various factors, including an unfavorable outlook if next-quarter guidance is cut and a potential improvement if the communication services sector trend rises. The macro score is 31.5, indicating moderate risk, while the valuation score is 2.6, labeled as expensive. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.48
- Slope (norm)-0.19
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.98 → $0.56 (-43.0% / 30d). 2 raised, 2 cut, 9 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 83% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 25.3% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
- 2025-10-24LYV — credit agreementimpact 0.23
- 2025-06-13LYV — officer changeimpact 0.23
- 2025-10-24LYV — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…impact 0.18
- 2025-08-29LYV — credit agreementimpact 0.16
- 2024-05-31LYV — cybersecurity incidentimpact 0.06
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Double-digit operating income growthgrowthbehind14% progress
2/19: “We are positioned for another year of double-digit operating income and AOI growth in 2026.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Operating income was $792.5M in 2025-Q3, but declined to -$413.2M in 2025-Q4. Despite the decline, management continues to emphasize double-digit growth for 2026, indicating persistent focus but limited substantive delivery in the latest quarter.
- 2.Capex guidance of $1.1 to $1.2 billion for 2026capital allocationmixed44% progress
2/19: “2026 capital expenditures expected to be $1.1 to $1.2 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Capex guidance for 2026 is set between $1.1 billion and $1.2 billion, up from the 2025 estimate of $900 million to $1 billion. This indicates an increased investment focus, aligning with management's growth strategy.
- 3.Revenue growth target for 2026growthbehind14% progress
5/5: “2026 is off to a powerful start, with first quarter revenue climbing 12% to $3.8 billion.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue for the first quarter of 2026 climbed 12% to $3.8 billion, indicating a strong start to the year. This aligns with management's growth focus, showing positive momentum in revenue generation.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 39%; 252d 31%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −28%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLC) — 0.83 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 48/100, drawdown 44/100, beta 83/100, earnings vol —.
via XLC
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Double-digit operating income growth
GrowthLive Nation aims for double-digit growth in operating income and AOI in 2026.
BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Operating income was $792.5M in 2025-Q3, but declined to -$413.2M in 2025-Q4. Despite the decline, management continues to emphasize double-digit growth for 2026, indicating persistent focus but limited substantive delivery in the latest quarter.
Operating income was $792.5M in 2025-Q314%CEO/CFO:“We are positioned for another year of double-digit operating income and AOI growth in 2026.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-19Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-19Show history (4)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“On pace to grow adjusted operating income by double-digits this year.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Positioned for another year of double-digit operating income and AOI growth in 2026.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Clear path for double-digit operating income and AOI growth this year.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“Positioned to grow operating income and AOI by double-digits this year.”
- #2
Capex guidance of $1.1 to $1.2 billion for 2026
Capital allocationLive Nation plans capital expenditures between $1.1 billion and $1.2 billion in 2026.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Capex guidance for 2026 is set between $1.1 billion and $1.2 billion, up from the 2025 estimate of $900 million to $1 billion. This indicates an increased investment focus, aligning with management's growth strategy.
44%CEO/CFO:“2026 capital expenditures expected to be $1.1 to $1.2 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-19Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-19Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“2026 capital expenditures expected to be $1.1 to $1.2 billion.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“2025 full year capital expenditures estimated to be $900 million to $1 billion.”
- #3
Revenue growth target for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-05Live Nation targets revenue growth with a strong start in 2026.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue for the first quarter of 2026 climbed 12% to $3.8 billion, indicating a strong start to the year. This aligns with management's growth focus, showing positive momentum in revenue generation.
14%CEO/CFO:“2026 is off to a powerful start, with first quarter revenue climbing 12% to $3.8 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-05Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-05Show history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“2026 is off to a powerful start, with first quarter revenue climbing 12% to $3.8 billion.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
38 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LYV Live Nation Entertainment | -1.2 | expensive | moderate |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | +31 | fair | moderate |
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) | +32 | fair | moderate |
META Meta Platforms | +30 | inexpensive | elevated |
NFLX Netflix | +23 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If communication_services sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-5.8 pts
- If communication_services sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-053d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of that press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Current Report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subj…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 68 - 2026-02-192mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 19, 2026, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of that press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Current Report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended,…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 11 - 2025-10-246mo agoItem 1.01
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 21, 2025, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement”) with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent and collateral agent, the letter of credit issuers party thereto and the financial institutions party thereto as lenders. The Credit Agreement amended and restated the Company’s existing credit agreement, dated as of May 6, 2010 (as amended, restate…
capital allocationneutralscore 1 - 2025-10-246mo agoItem 2.03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth under Item 1.01 “Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement” is incorporated into this
capital allocationnegativescore 1 - 2025-08-298mo agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On August 19, 2025, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (the “Company”) completed its previously announced acquisition of an additional 24% of the capital stock of OCESA Entretenimiento, S.A. de C.V. (“OCESA”) from Corporación Interamericana de Entretenimiento, S.A.B. de C.V. (“CIE”). Pursuant to the terms of the purchase agreement entered into between the Company and CIE, the Company acquired the additional shares of OCESA’s capital stock in exchange for a closing cash payment to C…
capital allocationneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.