MA
MastercardNYSEFinancialsCredit ServicesSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, MA has a composite score of 14.7, categorized as "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 72.5 and reflects strengths in management (83.1) and quality (75.3), while facing challenges from a macro score of -7.7. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the scores and assessments may be subject to change.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.11
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $4.85 → $4.76 (-1.8% / 30d). 1 raised, 17 cut, 26 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 7 maintained. 92% of analysts rate Buy.
7 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 26.9% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 25%; 252d 22%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −19%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLF) — 0.99 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 63/100, drawdown 62/100, beta 99/100, earnings vol —.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 11.1% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MA Mastercard | +15 | full | low |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway | +6.0 | — | moderate |
JPM JPMorgan Chase | -0.9 | full | low |
V Visa Inc. | +20 | — | low |
BAC Bank of America | +18 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
- If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-01-29)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-01-29)-8.0 pts
- If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-071d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 7, 2026, Mastercard Incorporated (“Mastercard” or the “Company”) announced that Sandra Arkell, the Company’s Corporate Controller and principal accounting officer, will assume the role of Mastercard’s Chief Audit Executive effective August 3, 2026, at which time she will step down from her current role. The Company also announced that effect…
executive changeneutralscore 78 - 2026-04-309d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 30, 2026, Mastercard Incorporated issued an earnings release announcing financial results for its first quarter 2026. A copy of the earnings release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. All information in the earnings release is furnished but not filed.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 54
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.