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MAS

Masco

NYSEIndustrialsBuilding Products & EquipmentSnapshot 2026-05-08

$71.74-0.26%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, MAS has a composite score of 26.6 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a high confidence level of 81.2 and strengths in macro factors (30.0) and management (70.8). The analysis is provisional, reflecting potential changes based on future guidance and sector trends.

Composite +27as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 30% of industrials cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.08
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
412303330316
F2 · Value
cheap
Cheapest 10% of industrials cohort
Why this rank
Price
$71.74
TTM EPS
$4.20
Earnings yield
5.9%
P/E (TTM)
17.1

Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
820
TTM CFO ($M)
1,090
CFO/NI
1.33
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
volatile
Bottom 10% activity in industrials cohort· see deep-dive ↓
capital unfriendlyBottom 20% — net capital-unfriendly direction
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish strong8 PT revisions / 30d, avg 12.9% above currentfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.31 → $1.32 (+0.9% / 30d). 13 raised, 6 cut, 21 covering analysts.

Rating actions

1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 14 maintained. 36% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

8 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 12.9% above current price.

Material events

1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Maintain EPS guidancegrowthmixed48% progress
    4/22: We believe it is prudent to maintain our 2026 adjusted earnings per share guidance in the range of $4.10 to $4.30 per share.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 has been maintained at $4.10 to $4.30. Despite a slight decline in revenue from $1.934B in 2025-Q4 to $1.918B in 2026-Q1, the company remains committed to its EPS targets, indicating a focus on maintaining profitability. The trajectory is mixed, with stable guidance but slight revenue decline.

  2. 2.Manage leadership transitiontalentmixed65% progress
    4/21: Masco announced that Jai Shah, Group President, Plumbing and Wellness, will conclude service on July 3, 2026.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The leadership transition involves the departure of Jai Shah, Group President, Plumbing and Wellness, effective July 3, 2026. This transition is critical for maintaining stability in the company's leadership team. No direct financial impact is evident yet, but the transition is being closely watched.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −24%, typical day ±1.5%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 45%; 252d 33%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −24%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLI) 1.25 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 45/100, drawdown 51/100, beta 75/100, earnings vol .

Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.

Sector regime
headwind-7.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLI

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite70.8 / 100
Capital allocation85
Earnings discipline53
Margin discipline55
Balance sheet93
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction42
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Maintain EPS guidance

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-04

    Continue to maintain the adjusted earnings per share guidance for 2026.

    Mixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 has been maintained at $4.10 to $4.30. Despite a slight decline in revenue from $1.934B in 2025-Q4 to $1.918B in 2026-Q1, the company remains committed to its EPS targets, indicating a focus on maintaining profitability. The trajectory is mixed, with stable guidance but slight revenue decline.

    48%
    CEO/CFO:We believe it is prudent to maintain our 2026 adjusted earnings per share guidance in the range of $4.10 to $4.30 per share.
    10-QSource dated 2026-04-22Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q110-Q

      We believe it is prudent to maintain our 2026 adjusted earnings per share guidance...

    • 2025-Q410-Q

      We anticipate full year adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $4.10 to $4.30 per share.

  • #2

    Manage leadership transition

    TalentNew since 2026-05-04

    Oversee the transition of the Group President, Plumbing and Wellness.

    WatchMixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The leadership transition involves the departure of Jai Shah, Group President, Plumbing and Wellness, effective July 3, 2026. This transition is critical for maintaining stability in the company's leadership team. No direct financial impact is evident yet, but the transition is being closely watched.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:Masco announced that Jai Shah, Group President, Plumbing and Wellness, will conclude service on July 3, 2026.
    8-KSource dated 2026-04-21Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q18-K

      Masco announced that Jai Shah, Group President, Plumbing and Wellness, will conclude service...

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
84higher = cheaper

Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.

Compared to its own history
39higher = cheaper

Richer than its own typical valuation.

P/E
17.4x
EV/EBITDA
11.6x
FCF yield
6.4%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
MAS
Masco
+27fairmoderate
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
+13expensivemoderate
GE
GE Aerospace
+11expensivemoderate
GEV
GE Vernova
+10fullmoderate
RTX
RTX Corporation
+20fairmoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.5%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.7%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-24.4%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-22)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently REAFFIRMED as of 2026-04-22)-8.0 pts
  • If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2216d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Attached and incorporated herein by reference as Exhibit 99 is a copy of the press release dated April 22, 2026 reporting Masco Corporation’s financial results for the first quarter 2026 and certain other information and supplemental information prepared for use in connection with the financial results for the first quarter 2026. On April 22, 2026, Masco Corporation will hold an investor conference call and webcast to discuss financial results fo…

    earnings preannouncementpositivescore 50
  2. 2026-04-2117d agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 21, 2026, Masco Corporation (the “Company”) announced that Jai Shah, Masco’s Group President, Plumbing and Wellness, will conclude service with the Company on July 3, 2026. The Company entered into an agreement with Mr. Shah dated April 16, 2026 in connection with his conclusion of service, which provides for the following: Pursuant and su…

    executive changeneutralscore 38
  3. 2026-03-261mo agoItem 1.01

    Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 20, 2026, Masco Corporation (the “Company”) entered into a Credit Agreement (the “New Credit Agreement”) dated as of March 20, 2026 among Masco Corporation and Masco Europe S.à r.l., as borrowers, the lenders party thereto, and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. and J.P. Morgan SE, collectively as administrative agent, pursuant to which the lenders party thereto have provided the Company with revolving credit commitments thereunder in an aggregate a…

    capital allocationneutralscore 24
  4. 2026-03-261mo agoItem 1.02

    Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. The information provided under

    mna activitynegativescore 19
  5. 2026-03-261mo agoItem 2.03

    Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. As discussed under

    capital allocationnegativescore 19
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-04-22 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.