Microchip Technology (MCHP)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-07-08
$85.49+1.59%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Microchip Technology (MCHP) aims to grow revenue significantly in data center solutions. Recent earnings showed a 35% year-over-year revenue increase and a strong earnings beat. It trades at 75× P/E, slightly below the peer median of 77×. The price reflects modest growth expectations compared to our view. If MCHP cuts guidance on the next call, it could negatively impact the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 18% below where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-08. MCHP is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering MCHP (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 11 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MCHP in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $85.49. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
New product aligns with growth objectives and enhances market position.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-08. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $85.49
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $85.49.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
New product enhances competitive position and revenue potential.
Advances: Revenue growth to $1.455 billion in 2026-Q4
Significant growth in data center solutions supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Maintain gross margin above 60%
Margin recovery aligns with AI data center demand.
Advances: Revenue growth to $1.455 billion in 2026-Q4
Positive outlook on data center growth supports revenue targets.
Advances: Maintain gross margin above 60%
Inventory slump nearing end supports gross margin recovery.