Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1261.08-5.06%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put MPWR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 40% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 33% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMPWR's AI power demand has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 63% year over year in the latest quarter. The company beat earnings estimates by 20.4% in Q3 2026. It trades at 59 times earnings versus a 50 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast suggests. The stock is down 18% from its recent high. This sharp drop may be repricing the core thesis. Peer multiples imply a price about 52% below where it trades. Our standing thesis remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. MPWR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering MPWR (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MPWR in the last 4 months.
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Compare MPWR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put MPWR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue to $1.14-$1.16 billion in Q3 2026
Reported Q3 beat supports the revenue objective, though the share-price decline does not establish weaker fundamentals.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $1261.08
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $1261.08.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue to $1.14-$1.16 billion in Q3 2026
AI demand-driven earnings beat supports growth, though reported results do not establish Q3 revenue guidance.
Advances: Increase quarterly cash dividend to $2.00 per share
Dividend announcement aligns with capital allocation goals.
Advances: Expand capacity goal beyond $6 billion to support growth
Partnership supports capacity expansion and growth objectives.
Advances: Expand capacity goal beyond $6 billion to support growth
GFS deal supports capacity expansion and future revenue growth.
Advances: Expand capacity goal beyond $6 billion to support growth
Capacity growth supports revenue increase objective.
Advances: Increase revenue to $1.14-$1.16 billion in Q3 2026
Significant revenue growth supports management's revenue target.
Increased demand supports revenue growth objectives.
