MSI
Motorola SolutionsNYSEInformation TechnologyCommunication EquipmentSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, MSI has a composite score of 22.8 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 74.6 and reflects various factors, including a macro score of 32.3 and a sector score of 21.4. The analysis is provisional and considers potential scenarios such as guidance cuts and sector trends.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.16
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $3.85 → $3.84 (-0.3% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 2 maintained. 86% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 34.9% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
2 material events in the last 24 months — top 2 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase revenue to $12.8 billion in 2026growthmixed65% progress
5/7: “The company now expects revenue of approximately $12.8 billion, up from its prior guidance of $12.7 billion.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue guidance increased from $11.65 billion in 2025 to $12.8 billion in 2026, indicating a growth trajectory. The company is delivering on its revenue growth target.
- 2.Expand Software and Services segmentgrowthon track95% progress
2/11: “Software and Services sales grew 15% in Q4; up 13% for full year.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Software and Services segment sales grew 13% in 2025, from $3,934 million to $4,429 million. The company is delivering on its expansion focus for this segment.
- 3.Maintain strong capital allocationcapital allocationmixed51% progress
2/11: “Repurchased $490 million of shares and paid $182 million in dividends in Q4.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The company repurchased $490 million of shares and paid $182 million in dividends in Q4 2025, demonstrating a strong capital allocation strategy. This aligns with management's stated priority of maintaining strategic capital allocation.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 40%; 252d 23%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −25%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLK) — -0.01 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 61/100, drawdown 49/100, beta 0/100, earnings vol —.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 0% of the last 1 guided quarters · -100.0% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase revenue to $12.8 billion in 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-07The company aims to achieve revenue of approximately $12.8 billion for the fiscal year 2026.
MixedStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue guidance increased from $11.65 billion in 2025 to $12.8 billion in 2026, indicating a growth trajectory. The company is delivering on its revenue growth target.
65%CEO/CFO:“The company now expects revenue of approximately $12.8 billion, up from its prior guidance of $12.7 billion.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-07Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-07Show history (2)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“The company expects revenue of approximately $12.7 billion.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“The company now expects revenue of approximately $11.65 billion.”
- #2
Expand Software and Services segment
GrowthFocus on growing the Software and Services segment, which increased 13% for the full year 2025.
On trackNewly stated in 2025-Q4. Software and Services segment sales grew 13% in 2025, from $3,934 million to $4,429 million. The company is delivering on its expansion focus for this segment.
Software and Services segment sales grew 13% in 202595%CEO/CFO:“Software and Services sales grew 15% in Q4; up 13% for full year.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-11Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-11Show history (1)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Software and Services sales grew 15% in Q4; up 13% for full year.”
- #3
Maintain strong capital allocation
Capital allocationContinue strategic capital allocation with share repurchases, dividends, and acquisitions.
MixedNewly stated in 2025-Q4. The company repurchased $490 million of shares and paid $182 million in dividends in Q4 2025, demonstrating a strong capital allocation strategy. This aligns with management's stated priority of maintaining strategic capital allocation.
Repurchased $490 million of shares in 2025-Q4Paid $182 million in dividends in 2025-Q451%CEO/CFO:“Repurchased $490 million of shares and paid $182 million in dividends in Q4.”Press releaseSource dated 2026-02-11Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-11Show history (1)
- 2025-Q4Press release
“Repurchased $490 million of shares and paid $182 million in dividends in Q4.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MSI Motorola Solutions | +23 | fair | moderate |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +20 | full | moderate |
AAPL Apple Inc | +19 | full | moderate |
MSFT Microsoft | +27 | fair | elevated |
AVGO Broadcom | +11 | expensive | elevated |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-07)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-07)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-071d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) nor shall they be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. On May 7, 2026 Motorola Solutions, Inc. issued a press release announcing, among…
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 77 - 2026-03-121mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Motorola Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) is pleased to announce that on March 12, 2026, the size of the Board of Directors of the Company (the “Board”) was increased from eight to nine members and Peter A. Leav joined the Board as a director and a member of the Compensation and Leadership Committee, effective immediately after the conclusion of the…
executive changeneutralscore 15 - 2026-02-112mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Act of 1934, nor shall they be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. On February 11, 2026 Motorola Solutions, Inc. issued a press release announcing, among other things, financial results for the quarter and year ended Decem…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 9
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.