NEE
NextEra EnergyNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, NEE has a composite score of 19.4 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is driven by a medium confidence level of 74.8, with strengths in quality (67.9) and management (59.8), while the sector score is slightly unfavorable at -0.7. The analysis is provisional and reflects various macroeconomic factors, including rates, labor, inflation, and growth.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.13
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.11 → $1.09 (-1.7% / 30d). 7 raised, 2 cut, 13 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 5 maintained. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
7 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 12.2% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Target high end of EPS range for 2026growthbehind14% progress
4/23: “NextEra Energy continues to expect 2026 adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $3.92 to $4.02 and is targeting the high end of that range.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 remains $3.92 to $4.02, with a target at the high end. Despite an earnings beat in 2026-Q1, the financials show a decline in revenue from $7.4B in 2025-Q3 to $4.3B in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards the high-end target.
- 2.Achieve 8%+ EPS growth through 2032growthbehind14% progressprovisional
1/27: “NextEra Energy also continues to expect a compound annual growth rate in adjusted earnings per share of 8%+ annually through 2032.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. While the company targets an 8%+ EPS growth through 2032, the financials show a decline in net income from $2.43B in 2025-Q3 to $0.21B in 2025-Q4, indicating a challenging trajectory towards this long-term growth target.
- 3.Increase base rates for additional revenuegrowthwatchprovisional
8/20: “FPL shall be authorized to increase its base rates and service charges by an amount that is intended to generate an additional $945 million of annual revenues.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The plan to increase base rates aims to generate an additional $945 million annually starting in 2026. However, with revenue declining from $7.4B in 2025-Q3 to $4.3B in 2025-Q4, the impact of this initiative remains to be seen.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 29%; 252d 25%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −11%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.05 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 59/100, drawdown 79/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Target high end of EPS range for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04NextEra Energy aims to achieve the high end of its 2026 EPS guidance range of $3.92 to $4.02.
BehindStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 remains $3.92 to $4.02, with a target at the high end. Despite an earnings beat in 2026-Q1, the financials show a decline in revenue from $7.4B in 2025-Q3 to $4.3B in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards the high-end target.
14%CEO/CFO:“NextEra Energy continues to expect 2026 adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $3.92 to $4.02 and is targeting the high end of that range.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“NEE continues to expect adjusted earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 to be between $3.62 and $3.70 and between $3.92 and $4.02, respectively.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“NEE now expects adjusted earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 to be between $3.62 and $3.70”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“For 2026 and 2027, NextEra Energy expects adjusted earnings per share to be in the ranges of $3.63 to $4.00.”
- #2
Achieve 8%+ EPS growth through 2032
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04NextEra Energy aims for a compound annual growth rate in adjusted EPS of over 8% through 2032.
BehindNewly stated in 2026-Q1. While the company targets an 8%+ EPS growth through 2032, the financials show a decline in net income from $2.43B in 2025-Q3 to $0.21B in 2025-Q4, indicating a challenging trajectory towards this long-term growth target.
14%CEO/CFO:“NextEra Energy also continues to expect a compound annual growth rate in adjusted earnings per share of 8%+ annually through 2032.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-01-27Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“NextEra Energy also continues to expect a compound annual growth rate in adjusted earnings per share of 8%+ annually through 2032.”
- #3
Increase base rates for additional revenue
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04NextEra Energy plans to increase base rates to generate additional revenue starting in 2026.
WatchStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. The plan to increase base rates aims to generate an additional $945 million annually starting in 2026. However, with revenue declining from $7.4B in 2025-Q3 to $4.3B in 2025-Q4, the impact of this initiative remains to be seen.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“FPL shall be authorized to increase its base rates and service charges by an amount that is intended to generate an additional $945 million of annual revenues.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-08-20Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (2)
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“FPL shall be authorized to increase its base rates by an amount that is intended to generate an additional $945 million over the Company’s then current base rates.”
- 2025-Q2Multiple sources
“FPL shall be authorized to increase its base rates and service charges by an amount that is intended to generate an additional $945 million of annual revenues.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
AEP American Electric Power | +18 | full | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-23)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-2316d agoItem 2.02
herein. Exhibit Number Description NextEra Energy, Inc. Florida Power & Light Company 99 NextEra Energy, Inc. News Release dated April 23, 2026 x x 101 Interactive data files for this Form 8-K formatted in Inline XBRL x x 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL and contained in Exhibit 101) x x 2 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrants have duly caused this report to be signed on their behalf by the undersigned the…
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 50
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.