New Fortress Energy, Inc. (NFE)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-11-05
$3.85-5.64%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NFE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -38.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -30.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers
NFE — Chair transition
Dated 2026-09-11
Director: The filing discloses a complete board turnover involving the resignation of six directors and the appointment of five new directors, driven by a corporate transaction and lender designations, which is a significant governance change but not a loss of a senior executive officer.
Why it matters: NFE says the turbine lease will add earnings and cash. Reported results can show whether those gains have begun.
Supportive ifNFE reports turbine lease payments and says they added to earnings or cash in a quarterly filing.
Worry ifNFE reports no lease payments, or says delays kept the lease from adding to earnings or cash.
Why it matters: The five-year lease puts up to 300 megawatts to work. Delivery delays could push back the cash and earnings gains.
Supportive ifNFE confirms all 10 turbines were delivered by March 31, 2027. They can produce up to 300 megawatts.
Worry ifNFE reports that any of the 10 turbines will arrive after Q1 2027, or that the lease terms changed.
Why it matters: A timely restart would put the liquefier back to work. A delay would leave this recovery step unfinished.
Watch forNFE confirms FLNG 1 is back in regular service by December 31, 2026.
Also watch forNFE reports the return slipped past Q4 2026 or the unit remains out of service.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$391 on $10,000 · ±3.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,162 loss on $10,000 · 11.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,618 loss on $10,000 · 96.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.