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NTAP

NetApp

NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-05-08

$118.00+4.42%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, NTAP has a composite score of 29.5 and a signal label of "mild favorable." The score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 75.6 and an elevated risk label. Key drivers include macroeconomic factors such as rates, growth, inflation, and labor, with the most recent fundamentals dated February 26, 2026, indicating that the assessment is provisional.

Composite +30as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.00
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
399362267434
F2 · Value
cheap
Cheapest 20% of information technology cohort
Why this rank
Price
$118.00
TTM EPS
$5.77
Earnings yield
4.9%
P/E (TTM)
20.5

Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
1,186
TTM CFO ($M)
1,506
CFO/NI
1.27
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
Insufficient data
No score yet
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral15 analysts, 40% Buyfor period ending 2026-07-31
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.83 → $1.84 (+0.7% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 15 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 0 maintained. 40% of analysts rate Buy.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

No recent events recorded.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Maintain strong gross marginscostmixed65% progress
    2/26: Consolidated gross margins are expected to be in the range of: 69.7% - 70.7%.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Gross profit was $1,209M in 2026-Q3, indicating a focus on maintaining strong margins. The guidance for gross margins remains consistent, suggesting a stable trajectory.

  2. 2.Achieve revenue growthgrowthmixed65% progress
    2/26: Net revenues are expected to be in the range of: $6.772 billion – $6.922 billion.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue was $1,713M in 2026-Q3, aligning with the guidance range. The consistent revenue guidance suggests a focus on achieving growth, with limited progress beyond maintaining the range.

  3. 3.Sustain operating margincostmixed65% progress
    2/26: Operating margins are expected to be in the range of: 23.3% - 24.3%.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q3. Operating income was $434M in 2026-Q3, reflecting efforts to sustain margins within the guided range. The focus on maintaining operating margins is evident, though delivery is early in its trajectory.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
elevatedworst 12m loss −25%, typical day ±1.3%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 34%; 252d 31%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −25%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLK) 0.05 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 49/100, drawdown 50/100, beta 5/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
tailwind+15.9%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLK

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite75.0 / 100
Capital allocation87
Earnings discipline87
Margin discipline46
Balance sheet75
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction36

Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 3 guided quarters · 35.2% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Maintain strong gross margins

    Cost

    Focus on sustaining consolidated gross margins within the guided range.

    Mixed

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Gross profit was $1,209M in 2026-Q3, indicating a focus on maintaining strong margins. The guidance for gross margins remains consistent, suggesting a stable trajectory.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:Consolidated gross margins are expected to be in the range of: 69.7% - 70.7%.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-26
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q3Multiple sources

      Consolidated gross margins are expected to be in the range of: 69.7% - 70.7%.

    • 2025-Q2Multiple sources

      Gross margins are expected to be in the range of: 69.7% - 70.7%.

  • #2

    Achieve revenue growth

    Growth

    Target revenue growth within the guided range for fiscal year 2026.

    Mixed

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue was $1,713M in 2026-Q3, aligning with the guidance range. The consistent revenue guidance suggests a focus on achieving growth, with limited progress beyond maintaining the range.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:Net revenues are expected to be in the range of: $6.772 billion – $6.922 billion.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-26
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q3Multiple sources

      Net revenues are expected to be in the range of: $6.772 billion – $6.922 billion.

    • 2025-Q2Multiple sources

      Net revenues are expected to be in the range of: $6.625 billion - $6.875 billion.

    • 2025-Q1Multiple sources

      Net revenues are expected to be in the range of: $6.625 billion - $6.875 billion.

  • #3

    Sustain operating margin

    Cost

    Maintain operating margins within the guided range for fiscal year 2026.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q3. Operating income was $434M in 2026-Q3, reflecting efforts to sustain margins within the guided range. The focus on maintaining operating margins is evident, though delivery is early in its trajectory.

    65%
    CEO/CFO:Operating margins are expected to be in the range of: 23.3% - 24.3%.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-26Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-26
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q3Multiple sources

      Operating margins are expected to be in the range of: 23.3% - 24.3%.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
83higher = cheaper

Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.

Compared to its own history
88higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
14.8x
EV/EBITDA
13.9x
FCF yield
7.1%

P/E over the last 5 years

57 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
NTAP
NetApp
+30inexpensiveelevated
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
+20fullmoderate
AAPL
Apple Inc
+19fullmoderate
MSFT
Microsoft
+27fairelevated
AVGO
Broadcom
+11expensiveelevated
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.3%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.8%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-24.8%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
elevatedas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If information_technology sector trend rises from +0.08 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-02-26)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-02-26)-8.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
  • If information_technology sector trend falls from +0.08 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-02-262mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 26, 2026, NetApp, Inc. ("NetApp" or the "Company") issued a press release reporting financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, ended January 23, 2026. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1, to this Current Report. NetApp is making reference to non-GAAP financial information in both the press release and the conference call. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 13
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-26 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.