Nucor (NUE)
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-07-07
$227.44+1.57%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track NUE free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Materials: fringe margins under pressure (4q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
Nucor's strong recent financial performance and positive outlook on steel pricing support the claim that it remains a compelling investment. Revenue grew 21% year over year, and the latest earnings beat expectations by 15.8%. It trades at 22× P/E versus a peer median of 24×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than forecasted. A specific risk is the potential for guidance cuts, with an 18% probability of a miss in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. NUE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering NUE (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for NUE in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $227.44. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Steel — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Upgrade indicates positive outlook on earnings potential.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $227.44
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $227.44.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase earnings across all segments
Upgrade reflects positive outlook on steel pricing impacting earnings.
Higher price target reflects strong demand and pricing power.
Earnings dip expectation may impact growth strategy.
Advances: Increase earnings across all segments
Tariff support and higher price outlook boosts earnings potential.
Partnership for eco-friendly steel aligns with growth objectives.
Carbon capture deal enhances sustainability and growth strategy.
