NUVVE HOLDING CORP (NVVE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.72-5.14%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · NVVE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -85.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 22.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 108.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
NVVE — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation
Dated 2026-09-16
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation Under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: The note can convert into shares, which can increase the share count. The company set aside 5 million shares for conversion.
Worry ifA filing reports shares issued to FirstFire through conversion of the September 2026 note.
Less concerning ifA filing reports the note was repaid or canceled, with no shares issued through conversion.
Why it matters: Nuvve raised $2.5 million in Q2, yet reported only $0.5 million in cash at June 30. A higher balance would show more cash on hand.
Watch forQ3 cash and cash equivalents are above $0.5 million.
Also watch forQ3 cash and cash equivalents are at or below $0.5 million.
Why it matters: Cash was $0.5 million at June 30, 2026. Lower cash losses would ease pressure to raise funds.
Supportive ifQ3 cash operating losses are below $7.3 million.
Worry ifQ3 cash operating losses are $7.3 million or higher.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue rose to $1.23 million, but gross margin fell to 2.6%. Higher sales help less if the company loses money on them.
Watch forQ3 revenue is above $1.23 million and gross margin is above 2.6%.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is at or below $1.23 million, or gross margin is at or below 2.6%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$517 on $10,000 · ±5.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,840 loss on $10,000 · 18.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,979 loss on $10,000 · 99.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This measure tracks charging capacity Nuvve manages. Growth would show progress in its platform business, while a decline would point to lost capacity.
Watch forThe next update shows more than 29.9 megawatts under management.
Also watch forThe next update reports no more than 29.9 megawatts under management.