OLENOX INDUSTRIES INC (OLOX)
NASDAQIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.73-2.54%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OLOX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -88.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -15.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 73.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers
OLOX — capital allocation — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities
Dated 2026-10-29
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities As disclosed in Item 1.01, on October 27, 2026, the Company entered into the Termination Agreement and agreed to issue the Termination Shares, which securities will contain a standard Rule 144 restrictive legend. The issuance of the foregoing securities will be exempt from registration pursuant to Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act promulgated thereunder as the holder is a sophisticated investor and familiar with our operations. 1
Why it matters: OLOX regained filing compliance in August after late reports. Another missed filing could put its listing status at risk.
Worry ifNasdaq reports a new filing breach, or OLOX misses a required SEC filing deadline.
Less concerning ifOLOX files each required report on time and reports no new Nasdaq filing notice.
Why it matters: OLOX reported $2.1 million in Q2 revenue but a $2.9 million operating loss. A better result would show progress beyond its new acquisitions.
Supportive ifThe November 12 report shows revenue above $2.1 million. It also shows an operating loss below $2.9 million.
Worry ifThe report shows revenue at or below $2.1 million, or an operating loss of $2.9 million or more.
Why it matters: The prior auditor said three 2025 quarterly reports may have major errors. Corrected filings would clarify the results.
Worry ifOLOX or its auditor says the 2025 quarterly reports need no changes. Or OLOX files corrected reports with clear figures.
Less concerning ifOLOX delays the review, changes any of the three reports, or reports another filing issue.
Why it matters: The acquisitions add gas assets and a 100 MW power registration. A customer or supply deal would show a path to use that capacity.
Supportive ifOLOX names a customer and reports a signed power or gas supply deal for the Texas project.
Worry ifOLOX reports no customer or signed supply deal, or says the project is delayed for lack of one.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$429 on $10,000 · ±4.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,603 loss on $10,000 · 16.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,887 loss on $10,000 · 98.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.