Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc (OMEX)
NASDAQMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$0.82-2.32%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OMEX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OMEX — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-07-24
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On July 21, 2026, Odyssey Marine Exploration, Inc. (the “Company”) was notified by the Listing Qualifications Department of the Nasdaq Capital Market (“Nasdaq”) that the Company did not satisfy the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement for 30 consecutive business days, as required under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2). In accordance with the Nasdaq Listing Rules, the Company has a 180-calendar da…
Why it matters: The merger is key for Odyssey's growth and market position in critical minerals. It could reshape the company's future.
Supportive ifThe merger closes in late Q2 or early Q3 2026 as planned.
Worry ifThe merger is delayed beyond Q3 2026 or fails to close.
Why it matters: These sales can change the capital structure and affect investor trust. It's important to monitor.
Worry ifA clear announcement detailing the terms and purpose of the equity sales.
Less concerning ifNo new news on stock sales makes it unclear for investors.
Why it matters: This split will help meet Nasdaq rules. It may also make share prices more stable.
Supportive ifThe reverse stock split is executed before the merger closes.
Worry ifThe reverse stock split is postponed or canceled.
Why it matters: A partnership could help Odyssey grow and bring in more money.
Supportive ifA press release will announce a formal deal with a fertilizer company.
Worry ifNo progress or bad news about the partnership talks may occur.
Why it matters: Litigation could delay the merger. This affects growth plans and stock performance.
Worry ifA court rules in favor of Odyssey. The merger can move forward without delays.
Less concerning ifA ruling against Odyssey that makes the merger process harder or stops it.
Why it matters: Compliance is key to keeping the company's public listing. It impacts investor trust and future funding.
Worry ifOdyssey fixes the Nasdaq compliance issue within the 180-day time frame.
Less concerning ifOdyssey fails to resolve the compliance issue, risking delisting.
Why it matters: This project could help Odyssey earn more money and grow.
Supportive ifThe company provides a clear update. It shows money support for the fertilizer project.
Worry ifNo progress updates or further delays in the project are reported.
Why it matters: Odyssey's compliance with Nasdaq's minimum bid price is critical for its listing status. This affects investor confidence.
Worry ifThe stock price recovers to meet the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement.
Less concerning ifThe stock price remains below $1.00 for an extended period, risking delisting.
Why it matters: Growth in revenue for the materials sector may mean a recovery for Odyssey.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth reported as positive year over year.
Worry ifOngoing decline in revenue for the materials sector.
Why it matters: Meeting the minimum bid price is crucial for maintaining Nasdaq listing. This impacts investor confidence and access to capital.
Supportive ifOdyssey's share price stays above $1.00 for 30 business days in a row.
Worry ifShare price remains below $1.00 for 30 consecutive business days.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$329 on $10,000 · ±3.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $943 loss on $10,000 · 9.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,553 loss on $10,000 · 85.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.