Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc (OMEX)
NASDAQMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$11.97+6.88%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsIndustrial MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OMEX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
OMEX — capital allocation — Forward-Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-l…
Dated 2026-09-14
Forward-Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements based upon Odyssey’s and AOM’s current expectations. This communication contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are identified by terminology such as “believe,” “may,” “will,” “estimate,” “continue,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “project,” “plan,” “expect,” “goal,” “seek,” “fut…
Why it matters: Odyssey has reported low revenue and large operating losses. A smaller loss would show better control of its spending before the merger.
Supportive ifThe November 11 report shows an operating loss below $6.4 million. That was the supplied 2026-Q1 level.
Worry ifThe November 11 report shows an operating loss above $7.7 million. That was the supplied 2026-Q2 level.
Why it matters: Closing would bring AOMC's assets and Odyssey's operations into one company. It would also put the planned AOMC listing into effect.
Supportive ifThe companies file a notice that the merger closed. The combined company starts trading on Nasdaq as AOMC.
Worry ifThe merger does not close, a key closing condition fails, or the AOMC listing is delayed.
Why it matters: The deal relies on financing to fund the combined company's work. Low revenue and ongoing losses make the cash available at close important.
Watch forThe merger closing report confirms that the combined company has at least $175 million in cash.
Also watch forThe closing report shows less than $175 million in cash, or says a key financing did not fund.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$280 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $901 loss on $10,000 · 9.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,133 loss on $10,000 · 81.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.