PEG
Public Service Enterprise GroupNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, PEG has a composite score of 23.3 and is rated with a signal of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 76.1 and reflects various factors, including macroeconomic conditions and sector trends. Key drivers include potential unfavorable impacts from guidance cuts and sector trends, alongside favorable scenarios if the utilities sector trend improves or guidance is raised. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.34
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.86 → $0.83 (-3.9% / 30d). 2 raised, 3 cut, 12 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 2 maintained. 41% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 10.6% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.
Stated priorities
2 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Increase non-GAAP Operating Earningsgrowthbehind0% progress
5/5: “PSEG maintained 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance of $4.28 - $4.40 per share.”
Why this status
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. PSEG maintained its 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance at $4.28 to $4.40 per share, reflecting an increase at the midpoint of over 7% above 2025 results. Despite the positive guidance, the financials show a decline in revenue from $3.23B in 2025-Q3 to $1.50B in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress in achieving this priority.
- 2.Leadership transition in governancetalentwatchprovisional
4/23: “Geisha J. Williams appointed to the GNS Committee and the Industrial Operations Committee.”
Why this status
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The appointment of Geisha J. Williams to key committees marks a step in the leadership transition in governance. However, there is no direct financial impact reported in the current financials, making it difficult to assess the immediate effectiveness of this transition.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 21%; 252d 19%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −13%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.06 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 69/100, drawdown 75/100, beta 6/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Increase non-GAAP Operating Earnings
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Focus on increasing non-GAAP Operating Earnings for fiscal year 2026.
BehindStated in 2 of last 2 quarters. PSEG maintained its 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance at $4.28 to $4.40 per share, reflecting an increase at the midpoint of over 7% above 2025 results. Despite the positive guidance, the financials show a decline in revenue from $3.23B in 2025-Q3 to $1.50B in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress in achieving this priority.
0%CEO/CFO:“PSEG maintained 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance of $4.28 - $4.40 per share.”8-KSource dated 2026-05-05Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (2)
- 2026-Q18-K
“PSEG maintained 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance of $4.28 - $4.40 per share.”
- 2025-Q48-K
“PSEG initiated full year 2026 non-GAAP Operating Earnings guidance in the range of $4.28 to $4.40 per share.”
- #2
Leadership transition in governance
TalentNew since 2026-05-04Implement leadership transition in governance with new appointments.
WatchNewly stated in 2026-Q1. The appointment of Geisha J. Williams to key committees marks a step in the leadership transition in governance. However, there is no direct financial impact reported in the current financials, making it difficult to assess the immediate effectiveness of this transition.
No scoreCEO/CFO:“Geisha J. Williams appointed to the GNS Committee and the Industrial Operations Committee.”8-KSource dated 2026-04-23Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04provisionalShow history (1)
- 2026-Q18-K
“Geisha J. Williams appointed to the GNS Committee and the Industrial Operations Committee.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
68 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PEG Public Service Enterprise Group | +23 | fair | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-05)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-054d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition PSEG On May 5, 2026, PSEG announced financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the earnings release dated May 5, 2026 is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this Form 8-K.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 60 - 2026-04-2316d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On April 21, 2026, the PSEG Board of Directors, upon the recommendation of the Governance, Nominating and Sustainability (GNS) Committee, appointed Geisha J. Williams to the GNS Committee and the Industrial Operations Committee, effective immediately. 1 SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has…
executive changeneutralscore 39
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.