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PNC

PNC Financial Services

NYSEFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-05-08

$216.85-1.11%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, PNC has a composite score of 11.3 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 76.3 and a low risk label. Key drivers include macro factors related to rates, growth, and labor, with macro scoring at -7.7, which indicates some unfavorable conditions. The valuation score is 52.7, categorized as fair.

Composite +11as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.05
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
1656202422871275
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$216.85
TTM EPS
$14.79
Earnings yield
6.8%
P/E (TTM)
14.7

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
neutral
Mid-cohort cash conversion
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
5,953
TTM CFO ($M)
7,880
CFO/NI
1.32
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral16 analysts, 73% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $4.41 → $4.32 (-2.0% / 30d). 6 raised, 12 cut, 16 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 8 maintained. 73% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 18.6% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
1

Recent 8-K events

1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.

2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Integration of FirstBank acquisitiongrowthbehind0% progress
    4/15: PNC completed its acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company, including its banking subsidiary FirstBank.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. PNC completed the acquisition of FirstBank, adding $26 billion of assets, $16 billion of loans, and $23 billion of deposits to its operations. The integration is in its early stages, with financial impacts yet to be fully realized.

  2. 2.Maintain strong net interest margingrowthbehind0% progress
    4/15: Net interest margin was 2.95% for Q1 2026, up from 2.84% in Q4 2025.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net interest margin increased from 2.84% in Q4 2025 to 2.95% in Q1 2026, indicating progress in maintaining a strong margin amidst changing interest rates. The trajectory is delivering on management's focus.

  3. 3.Enhance credit risk managementotherwatchprovisional
    4/15: PNC updated its defined loan classes and reclassified certain loans based on credit risk monitoring.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. PNC has updated its loan classifications to enhance credit risk management. The financials show a provision for credit losses of $210 million in Q1 2026, up from $139 million in Q4 2025, indicating proactive risk management efforts.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
lowworst 12m loss −17%, typical day ±1.0%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 21%; 252d 22%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −17%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLF) 1.10 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 64/100, drawdown 66/100, beta 90/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-9.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLF

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite63.7 / 100
Capital allocation45
Earnings discipline86
Margin discipline78
Balance sheet69
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction51
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Integration of FirstBank acquisition

    Growth

    Complete the integration of FirstBank, acquired in January 2026, into PNC's operations.

    Behind

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. PNC completed the acquisition of FirstBank, adding $26 billion of assets, $16 billion of loans, and $23 billion of deposits to its operations. The integration is in its early stages, with financial impacts yet to be fully realized.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:PNC completed its acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company, including its banking subsidiary FirstBank.
    Earnings callSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Earnings call

      PNC completed its acquisition of FirstBank Holding Company, including its banking subsidiary FirstBank.

  • #2

    Maintain strong net interest margin

    Growth

    Focus on maintaining a strong net interest margin amidst changing interest rates.

    Behind

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Net interest margin increased from 2.84% in Q4 2025 to 2.95% in Q1 2026, indicating progress in maintaining a strong margin amidst changing interest rates. The trajectory is delivering on management's focus.

    0%
    CEO/CFO:Net interest margin was 2.95% for Q1 2026, up from 2.84% in Q4 2025.
    Earnings callSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15
    Show history (2)
    • 2026-Q1Earnings call

      Net interest margin was 2.95% for Q1 2026.

    • 2025-Q4Earnings call

      Net interest margin was 2.84% for Q4 2025.

  • #3

    Enhance credit risk management

    Other

    Improve credit risk management practices to handle potential loan losses.

    Watch

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. PNC has updated its loan classifications to enhance credit risk management. The financials show a provision for credit losses of $210 million in Q1 2026, up from $139 million in Q4 2025, indicating proactive risk management efforts.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:PNC updated its defined loan classes and reclassified certain loans based on credit risk monitoring.
    Earnings callSource dated 2026-04-15Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-04-15provisional
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Earnings call

      PNC updated its defined loan classes and reclassified certain loans based on credit risk monitoring.

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
60higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
47higher = cheaper

Around its own typical valuation.

P/E
12.6x
EV/EBITDA
22.2x
FCF yield
7.8%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
PNC
PNC Financial Services
+11fairlow
BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway
+6.0moderate
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
-0.9fulllow
V
Visa Inc.
+20low
MA
Mastercard
+15fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.0%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-2.0%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-17.2%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
lowas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)+6.6 pts
  • If financials sector trend rises from +0.07 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If financials sector trend falls from +0.07 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-3.0 pts
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-1.9 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-2415d agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e) On April 22, 2026, The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. 2026 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan (the “Plan”) was approved by the shareholders of The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (the “Corporation”) at the annual meeting of the Corporation’s shareholders held on that date. The 2026 Plan was previously approved by the board of directors of the…

    executive changeneutralscore 40
  2. 2026-04-1524d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 15, 2026 , The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (“PNC”) issued a press release regarding PNC’s earnings and business results for the first quarter of 2026. A copy of PNC’s press release is included in this Report as Exhibit 99.1 and is furnished herewith. In connection therewith, PNC provided supplementary financial information on its website. A copy of PNC’s supplementary financial information is included in this Report as Exhibit 99.…

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 38
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-20 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.