Pentair (PNR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$72.03+3.30%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PNR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 17.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PNR — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-22
CFO — Robert W. Hau: The filing announces the appointment of an internal candidate (SVP Finance) to the CFO role, succeeding an interim officer, which is a standard succession event rather than a loss of a permanent executive.
Why it matters: This is a near-term test of Pentair's full-year outlook. The guide follows a 5% core sales decline in Q3.
Supportive ifQ4 reported sales rise 7% to 9% year over year, as guided.
Worry ifQ4 reported sales rise less than 7% year over year or decline.
Why it matters: Pentair's 2026 outlook includes Taco. The deal also brings closing, funding, and integration risks.
Watch forPentair reports that the Taco deal closed and gives a clear update on integration progress.
Also watch forPentair reports that the deal closed late or failed. It also reports trouble joining Taco with its business.
Why it matters: Q3 adjusted return on sales was 24.8%, below 25.7% a year earlier. A rebound would show better margin progress.
Supportive ifAdjusted return on sales rises above 24.8% in a later quarter.
Worry ifAdjusted return on sales falls below 24.8% in a later quarter.
Why it matters: These segments grew in Q3 while Pool sales fell. Continued growth would show strength beyond the Pool business.
Supportive ifBoth Flow and Water Solutions report positive core sales growth in the next quarter.
Worry ifEither segment reports a core sales decline in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$112 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $280 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,179 loss on $10,000 · 51.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Pentair kept its adjusted EPS midpoint despite weak Pool sales. A miss would weaken confidence in its updated 2026 outlook.
Worry ifPentair reports full-year 2026 adjusted EPS of about $4.70.
Less concerning ifPentair reports full-year adjusted EPS below $4.60, below its prior guide's low end.
Why it matters: Pentair said the Q3 inventory realignment was complete. Pool sales still fell 18% year over year, so Q4 tests the reset.
Watch forPool sales grow year over year in Q4, after falling 18% in Q3.
Also watch forPool sales fall year over year again in Q4, though the company says its inventory reset is complete.