Pentair (PNR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$60.21+0.32%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PNR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers
PNR — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-09-02
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant As previously announced, on July 27, 2026, Pentair plc (“Pentair”) entered into a definitive agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) to acquire the issued and outstanding equity securities of Taco Group Holdings (“Taco”), for a purchase price of $1.425 billion, subject to customary adjustments contemplated by the Purchase Agreement (the “Taco Acquisition”). On September 1, 2026, in c…
Why it matters: A new CEO might change the company's plans and how it works. This can affect investor trust and future results.
Watch forManagement gives a good update on the transition and how it will change strategy.
Also watch forManagement is concerned. They think the transition could hurt the company's performance.
Why it matters: Sales below this number would confirm ongoing issues in the Pool segment and hurt growth outlook.
Worry ifQ2 2026 sales reported at or below $930 million.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 sales exceed $930 million.
Why it matters: Updates on the CFO search may show management stability. This can affect investor feelings.
Watch forA new permanent CFO appointment will be announced.
Also watch forNo updates or prolonged search for a new CFO.
Why it matters: Going above this amount shows good capital use. It shows a commitment to giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases were above $200 million for 2026.
Worry ifTotal share repurchases were below $200 million for 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$130 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $277 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,644 loss on $10,000 · 46.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The new CFO's strategy could impact financial discipline and growth plans moving forward.
Watch forThe new CFO outlines a clear strategic plan that aligns with long-term growth goals.
Also watch forThe new CFO fails to provide a clear strategic direction or plan.
Why it matters: Changes could affect share buybacks and dividends. This would impact shareholder returns.
Watch forThere is news about ongoing share buybacks and steady dividends with the new CFO.
Also watch forThere is news about lower share buybacks or dividend cuts with the new CFO.
Why it matters: Closing the acquisition would improve Pentair's market position. It would also boost growth potential.
Supportive ifThere is news about finishing the Taco Group Holdings acquisition.
Worry ifThere is news about delays or failure to finish the Taco Group Holdings acquisition.
Why it matters: Share buybacks show that management believes in the company's value. This can help the stock price.
Supportive ifPentair announces more share buybacks over $200 million.
Worry ifPentair does not announce any new share repurchases.
Why it matters: Worsening guidance shows problems in the Pool segment and the overall business.
Worry ifFull year 2026 sales guidance worsens to down more than 7 percent.
Less concerning ifFull year 2026 sales guidance improves to down less than 4 percent.
Why it matters: Sales growth shows that people want Pentair's products. It also shows how healthy the business is.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 sales reported up at least 1% compared to Q2 2025.
Worry ifQ2 2026 sales reported flat or negative compared to Q2 2025.
Why it matters: A larger decline signals ongoing issues in the Pool segment and affects overall growth.
Worry ifPool segment sales decline more than 6% compared to Q3 2025.
Less concerning ifPool segment sales decline less than 4% compared to Q3 2025.
Why it matters: A lower EPS shows financial problems and may hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ3 GAAP EPS reported below $0.97.
Less concerning ifQ3 GAAP EPS reported above $1.00.