PNW
Pinnacle West CapitalNYSEUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, PNW has a composite score of 12.1 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score reflects a medium confidence level of 74.3 and is influenced by various factors, including macroeconomic conditions and sector trends. The top drivers include macro rates, labor, inflation, and growth. The analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.10
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.52 → $1.50 (-1.4% / 30d). 1 raised, 2 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 22% of analysts rate Buy.
5 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 1.5% above current price.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
1 priority extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Maintain EPS guidance of $4.55 to $4.75 for 2026growthbehind14% progress
5/4: “The Company continues to estimate its consolidated earnings will be within a range of $4.55 to $4.75 per diluted share.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has consistently maintained its EPS guidance range of $4.55 to $4.75 for 2026. Despite a net income decline to -$9.5M in 2025-Q4, the guidance remains unchanged, indicating persistent focus but limited substantive delivery so far.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 17%; 252d 16%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −8%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.03 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 73/100, drawdown 83/100, beta 3/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Maintain EPS guidance of $4.55 to $4.75 for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04The company aims to maintain its EPS guidance range of $4.55 to $4.75 for the fiscal year 2026.
BehindStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company has consistently maintained its EPS guidance range of $4.55 to $4.75 for 2026. Despite a net income decline to -$9.5M in 2025-Q4, the guidance remains unchanged, indicating persistent focus but limited substantive delivery so far.
14%CEO/CFO:“The Company continues to estimate its consolidated earnings will be within a range of $4.55 to $4.75 per diluted share.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-04Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“The Company continues to estimate its consolidated earnings will be within a range of $4.55 to $4.75 per diluted share.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“For 2026, the Company continues to estimate its consolidated earnings will be within a range of $4.55 to $4.75 per diluted share.”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“The Company estimates its 2026 consolidated earnings will be within a range of $4.55 to $4.75 per diluted share.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PNW Pinnacle West Capital | +12 | full | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-04)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-04)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-045d agoItem 2.02
On May 4, 2026, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (“Pinnacle West”) issued a press release regarding its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.
earnings preannouncementpositivescore 65
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.