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PODD

Insulet Corporation

NASDAQHealth CareMedical DevicesSnapshot 2026-05-08

$154.16-3.89%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, PODD has a composite score of 21.1 and a signal label of "mild_favorable." The company momentum score significantly increased by 60.1 points to 74.8, while the composite insight score rose by 13.4 points to 21.1. This analysis is provisional.

Composite +21as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.17
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
5712111813
F2 · Value
expensive
Most expensive 20% of health care cohort
Why this rank
Price
$154.16
TTM EPS
$3.37
Earnings yield
2.2%
P/E (TTM)
45.7

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
fragile
Bottom 20% cash conversion in health care cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
418
TTM CFO ($M)
430
CFO/NI
1.03
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
volatile
Bottom 30% activity in health care cohort· see deep-dive ↓
capital unfriendlyBottom 10% — net capital-unfriendly direction
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish13 PT revisions / 30d, avg 49.6% above currentfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.44 → $1.44 (-0.1% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 19 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 12 maintained. 83% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

13 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 49.6% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).

  1. 1.Increase revenue growth outlookgrowthbehind6% progress
    5/6: We are raising our total company revenue growth outlook to reflect our progress.
    Why this status

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $441.7M in 2025-Q1 to $706.3M in 2025-Q3. Management has consistently raised the revenue growth outlook, indicating a positive trajectory.

  2. 2.Share repurchase program expansioncapital allocationmixed25% progress
    2/18: Board approved a $350 million increase in the previously authorized $125 million stock repurchase authorization.
    Why this status

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The Board approved a $350 million increase in the stock repurchase authorization, expanding the total authorization to $475 million. This indicates a strategic focus on capital allocation through share buybacks.

  3. 3.Maintain gross margin above 71%costwatchprovisional
    11/6: Gross Margin >71%.
    Why this status

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Management has consistently aimed to maintain a gross margin above 71%. The focus on cost management is evident, but specific margin figures for recent quarters are not provided in the inputs.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
elevatedworst 12m loss −57%, typical day ±1.3%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 61%; 252d 41%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −57%. Bad day move −4%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLV) 0.52 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 31/100, drawdown 0/100, beta 52/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-15.1%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLV

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. score change · company_momentum_score
    severity 100

    Company momentum rose by 60.1 points (from 14.7 to 74.8).

  2. score change · composite_insight_score
    severity 27

    Composite insight rose by 13.4 points (from 7.7 to 21.1).

  3. label change · signal_label
    severity 20

    Signal changed from 'mixed' to 'mild_favorable'.

As of May 8, 2026, the company momentum score for PODD rose by 60.1 points, increasing from 14.7 to 74.8. The composite insight score also increased by 13.4 points, moving from 7.7 to 21.1. Additionally, the signal label changed from 'mixed' to 'mild_favorable'.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite46.1 / 100
Capital allocation54
Earnings discipline35
Margin discipline40
Balance sheet47
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction48
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

  • #1

    Increase revenue growth outlook

    GrowthNew since 2026-05-06

    Management has raised the revenue growth outlook for fiscal year 2026.

    Behind

    Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $441.7M in 2025-Q1 to $706.3M in 2025-Q3. Management has consistently raised the revenue growth outlook, indicating a positive trajectory.

    Revenue grew from $441.7M in 2025-Q1 to $706.3M in 2025-Q3
    6%
    CEO/CFO:We are raising our total company revenue growth outlook to reflect our progress.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-06Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-06
    Show history (3)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      We are raising our total company revenue growth outlook to reflect our progress.

    • 2025-Q4Multiple sources

      FY 2026 Guidance... Total 20% - 22%

    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      FY 2025 Guidance (as of 11/6/2025) Total 28% - 29%.

  • #2

    Share repurchase program expansion

    Capital allocation

    The Board approved a $350 million increase in the stock repurchase authorization.

    Mixed

    Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The Board approved a $350 million increase in the stock repurchase authorization, expanding the total authorization to $475 million. This indicates a strategic focus on capital allocation through share buybacks.

    25%
    CEO/CFO:Board approved a $350 million increase in the previously authorized $125 million stock repurchase authorization.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-02-18Stated 1 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-02-18
    Show history (1)
    • 2026-Q1Multiple sources

      Board approved a $350 million increase in the previously authorized $125 million stock repurchase authorization.

  • #3

    Maintain gross margin above 71%

    Cost

    Management aims to maintain a gross margin above 71% for fiscal year 2025.

    Watch

    Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Management has consistently aimed to maintain a gross margin above 71%. The focus on cost management is evident, but specific margin figures for recent quarters are not provided in the inputs.

    No score
    CEO/CFO:Gross Margin >71%.
    Multiple sourcesSource dated 2025-11-06Stated 2 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2025-11-06provisional
    Show history (2)
    • 2025-Q3Multiple sources

      Gross Margin >71%.

    • 2025-Q2Multiple sources

      Gross Margin ~71.0%

as of 2026-05-08
5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
11higher = cheaper

Looks more expensive than peers.

Compared to its own history
89higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
30.4x
EV/EBITDA
20.8x
FCF yield
3.7%

P/E over the last 5 years

65 monthly points
fullas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
PODD
Insulet Corporation
+21fullelevated
LLY
Lilly (Eli)
+21fullmoderate
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
+18fulllow
ABBV
AbbVie
+12fairlow
UNH
UnitedHealth Group
+24fairelevated
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.3%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-3.7%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-57.1%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
elevatedas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If health_care sector trend rises from +0.06 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently RAISED as of 2026-05-06)-16 pts
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.8 pts
  • If health_care sector trend falls from +0.06 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-2.9 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-062d agoItem 2.02

    of this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

    earnings preannouncementnegativescore 75
  2. 2026-03-121mo agoItem 7.01

    Regulation FD Disclosure On March 12, 2026, Insulet Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release regarding a voluntary medical device correction. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. While it is too early to ascertain the exact cost of the voluntary medical device correction, the Company currently expects to incur up to $40 million of costs associated with this event, all in 2026. These costs will be excluded from adjusted results. Accordingly, Insulet is n…

    legal regulatorynegativescore 14
  3. 2026-03-042mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers On February 27, 2026, Insulet Corporation (the “Company”) entered into a severance agreement and release (the “Severance Agreement”) with Ana M. Chadwick, the Company’s former Chief Financial Officer. The Severance Agreement does not provide for any material compensation or benefits terms that differ from, or are in addition to, those previously dis…

    executive changeneutralscore 13
  4. 2026-02-242mo agoItem 4.01

    Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant On December 15, 2025, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors of the Company notified GT, the Company’s then independent registered public accounting firm, that the Audit Committee selected PwC as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm for the Company’s fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. GT was previously engaged to audit the Company’s consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. The…

    legal regulatorynegativescore 12
  5. 2026-02-182mo agoItem 2.02

    of this Current Report on Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 11
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-02-18 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.