PPG Industries (PPG)
NYSEMaterialsSpecialty ChemicalsSnapshot 2026-07-07
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $120.22. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $120 PPG trades at 16× p/e, below its 23× p/e peer median. Our $132 fair value sits above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $119–$140. Not investment advice.
$119.00 – $140.00 (median $136.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-07-06
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 8% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 5.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $6.27/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $136.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $113.74 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $112.62 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $79.78 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $179.39 | 22.7 | 7.90 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $190.70 | 15.2 | 14.26 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $123.16 | 22.5 | 5.47 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $174.62 | 22.7 | 7.69 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $103.35 | 1.4 | 71.84 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $84.28 | 11.0 | 7.69 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $52.73 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $122.58 | 15.9 | 7.69 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $176.85 | 22.7 | 7.79 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $228.74 | 22.7 | 10.07 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $166.43 | 22.5 | 7.39 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $211.73 | 22.7 | 9.32 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $118.96 | 1.4 | 82.69 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $102.19 | 11.0 | 9.32 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $148.63 | 15.9 | 9.32 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $268.98 | 22.7 | 11.85 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $203.43 | 22.5 | 9.03 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $232.07 | 22.7 | 10.22 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $130.38 | 1.4 | 90.63 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $112.01 | 11.0 | 10.22 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $162.91 | 15.9 | 10.22 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.