Public Policy Holding Co., Inc. (PPHC)
NASDAQIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$11.34-10.14%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsConsulting ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PPHC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers
PPHC — credit agreement
Dated 2026-11-05
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On November 2, 2026, Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (the “Company”) and certain of its subsidiaries entered into a Credit Agreement (the “New Credit Agreement”) with the lenders party thereto and Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent, swingline lender and letter of credit issuer. The New Credit Agreement provides for $105.0 million of senior secured credit facilities, consisting of a $65.0 million term loan facility and a $40.0 million…
Why it matters: Management raised its 2026 revenue range to $213M-$216M. Results below $213M would miss that goal.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 revenue is below $213M, or management cuts the $213M-$216M range.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 revenue lands between $213M and $216M, or above $216M.
Why it matters: TAP adds a high-margin Florida practice. Its profit growth also sets the size of future earnout payments, up to $54.6M.
Watch forPPHC reports TAP profit growth from its 2026 base and continued client retention, without a drop in the firm's team.
Also watch forPPHC reports TAP profit below its 2026 base, or discloses client losses or a team departure.
Why it matters: The 2026 revenue raise came from acquisitions. Organic growth stayed near 5%, so this tests demand from existing work and new clients.
Worry ifFull-year organic revenue growth is below 5%, or Q3 organic growth falls below 3.9%, the Q2 rate.
Less concerning ifFull-year organic revenue growth reaches 5% or more, with Q3 growth at or above 3.9%.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$250 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $645 loss on $10,000 · 6.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,990 loss on $10,000 · 49.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.